Fiorentina vs Como prediction: Serie A, Sunday 18 October

Fiorentina host Como in Serie A on Sunday 18 October, kick-off 16:00 EAT. The match is played at Artemio Franchi (Florence). Fiorentina are 18th in the table with 4 points from 6 games; Como are 7th with 10.

Who will win Fiorentina vs Como?

Como are favourites, though not by much: 49% to win, 25% for the draw and 25% for Fiorentina. Megapari pays 2.13 on Como, more than our fair price of 2.02.

No market clears our thresholds for this match, so it carries no tip in the daily lists; the table below is the model's full view of it.

Odds: Megapari, as of 11 October 2026, 17:08 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Fiorentina vs Como

Expected goals are 1.0 for Fiorentina and 1.7 for Como, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 55%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 57%.

Fiorentina vs Como correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 1-1 at 12%, ahead of 0-1 (10%) and 1-2 (10%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 8 matches like this one.

Form: Fiorentina and Como in their last five

Fiorentina have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -3. Como have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +5. The results cover every competition in our data.

Fiorentina: last five matches

Como: last five matches

Fiorentina vs Como head to head

In their last four meetings in our data, Fiorentina won 2, Como won 2 and none was drawn. The most recent, on 14 February 2026, finished Como 1–2 Fiorentina.

The rest of Serie A is on our Serie A page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.