Premier League
Fulham vs Hull City prediction: Premier League, Saturday 17 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Fulham host Hull City in the Premier League on Saturday 17 October, kick-off 17:00 EAT. The match is played at Craven Cottage (London). Fulham are 19th in the table with 2 points from 5 games; Hull City are 8th with 8.
Who will win Fulham vs Hull City?
Fulham are favourites, though not by much: 56% to win, 25% for the draw and 19% for Hull City. Megapari's 1.73 on Fulham is shorter than our fair price of 1.80: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.
Two markets clear our thresholds for this match: Fulham to win (56%) and Fulham or draw (81%).
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | Megapari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fulham to win Tip | 56% | 1.80 | 1.73 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.98 | 4.11 |
| Hull City to win | 19% | 5.18 | 5.18 |
| Fulham or draw Tip | 81% | 1.24 | 1.20 |
| Draw or Hull City | 44% | 2.25 | 2.24 |
| Fulham or Hull City | 75% | 1.34 | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72% | 1.39 | 1.20 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.97 | 1.81 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.03 | 2.15 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 75% | 1.34 | 1.39 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 52% | 1.92 | 1.72 |
| Both teams to score: no | 48% | 2.08 | 2.02 |
Odds: Megapari, as of 10 October 2026, 17:08 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Fulham vs Hull City
Expected goals are 1.6 for Fulham and 0.8 for Hull City, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 51%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 52%.
Fulham vs Hull City correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-0 at 14%, ahead of 1-1 (12%) and 2-0 (11%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 7 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | 13.6% | 7.34 |
| 1-1 | 12.3% | 8.12 |
| 2-0 | 11.1% | 9.03 |
| 0-0 | 9.5% | 10.57 |
| 2-1 | 9.3% | 10.75 |
Form: Fulham and Hull City in their last five
Fulham have not won in 5 (2 draws, 3 defeats) and scored 5 in that run. Hull City have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +2. The results cover every competition in our data.
Fulham: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep 2026 | Man United (home)Premier League | 1-1 | D |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Liverpool (away)Premier League | 0-0 | D |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Crystal Palace (home)Premier League | 2-3 | L |
| 30 Aug 2026 | Sunderland (away)Premier League | 0-1 | L |
| 24 Aug 2026 | Chelsea (home)Premier League | 2-3 | L |
Hull City: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2026 | Newcastle (away)Premier League | 1-2 | L |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Chelsea (away)Premier League | 2-2 | D |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Aston Villa (home)Premier League | 0-0 | D |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Coventry City (away)Premier League | 1-0 | W |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Man United (home)Premier League | 2-0 | W |
Fulham vs Hull City head to head
Fulham and Hull City have not met in the matches our data covers, which go back three seasons.
The rest of the Premier League is on our Premier League page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.
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