Süper Lig
Genclerbirligi vs Galatasaray prediction: Süper Lig, Saturday 17 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Genclerbirligi host Galatasaray in the Süper Lig on Saturday 17 October, kick-off 16:00 EAT. The match is played at Eryaman Stadium (Ankara). Genclerbirligi are 11th in the table with 8 points from 7 games; Galatasaray are 1st with 16.
Who will win Genclerbirligi vs Galatasaray?
The model makes Galatasaray clear favourites at 66%, with the draw at 19% and Genclerbirligi at 15%. Megapari's 1.40 on Galatasaray is shorter than our fair price of 1.51: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.
Four markets clear our thresholds for this match: Galatasaray to win (66%), draw or Galatasaray (85%), over 1.5 goals (80%) and over 2.5 goals (62%).
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | Megapari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Genclerbirligi to win | 15% | 6.69 | 7.49 |
| Draw | 19% | 5.25 | 5.51 |
| Galatasaray to win Tip | 66% | 1.51 | 1.40 |
| Genclerbirligi or draw | 34% | 2.94 | 3.12 |
| Draw or Galatasaray Tip | 85% | 1.18 | 1.09 |
| Genclerbirligi or Galatasaray | 81% | 1.24 | 1.17 |
| Over 1.5 goals Tip | 80% | 1.25 | 1.12 |
| Over 2.5 goals Tip | 62% | 1.62 | 1.43 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 38% | 2.61 | 2.60 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 63% | 1.58 | 1.78 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | 1.77 | 1.63 |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | 2.29 | 2.17 |
Odds: Megapari, as of 10 October 2026, 17:08 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Genclerbirligi vs Galatasaray
Goals are expected: 1.1 for Genclerbirligi and 2.2 for Galatasaray, 3.2 in all, which puts over 2.5 goals at 62%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 56%.
Genclerbirligi vs Galatasaray correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-2 at 10%, ahead of 1-1 (9%) and 0-2 (9%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 10 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-2 | 9.9% | 10.13 |
| 1-1 | 9.4% | 10.59 |
| 0-2 | 9.4% | 10.66 |
| 0-1 | 8.3% | 12.11 |
| 1-3 | 7.2% | 13.97 |
Form: Genclerbirligi and Galatasaray in their last five
Genclerbirligi have not won in 5 (2 draws, 3 defeats) and scored 4 in that run. Galatasaray have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -2. The results cover every competition in our data.
Genclerbirligi: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct 2026 | Amedspor (home)Süper Lig | 2-2 | D |
| 19 Sep 2026 | İstanbul Başakşehir (away)Süper Lig | 0-4 | L |
| 13 Sep 2026 | Kasimpasa (home)Süper Lig | 1-2 | L |
| 6 Sep 2026 | Trabzonspor (away)Süper Lig | 0-5 | L |
| 28 Aug 2026 | BB Erzurumspor (home)Süper Lig | 1-1 | D |
Galatasaray: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Oct 2026 | Kasimpasa (home)Süper Lig | 3-1 | W |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Trabzonspor (away)Süper Lig | 0-4 | L |
| 13 Sep 2026 | Kocaelispor (home)Süper Lig | 1-0 | W |
| 9 Sep 2026 | Sporting CP (away)UEFA Champions League | 1-3 | L |
| 4 Sep 2026 | İstanbul Başakşehir (away)Süper Lig | 3-2 | W |
Genclerbirligi vs Galatasaray head to head
In their last two meetings in our data, Genclerbirligi won none, Galatasaray won 2 and none was drawn. The most recent, on 18 April 2026, finished Genclerbirligi 1–2 Galatasaray.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr 2026 | Genclerbirligi – GalatasaraySüper Lig | 1-2 |
| 22 Nov 2025 | Galatasaray – GenclerbirligiSüper Lig | 3-2 |
All the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.
+100% bonus on your first deposit with promo code TIPSQUANT