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Süper Lig

Genclerbirligi vs Galatasaray prediction: Süper Lig, Saturday 17 October

TipsQuant editorial team · Updated

Genclerbirligi

Galatasaray

Genclerbirligi
15%Megapari 7.49
Draw
19%Megapari 5.51
Galatasaray
66%Megapari 1.40
  • Galatasaray to win66% · fair 1.51Bet 1.40
  • Draw or Galatasaray85% · fair 1.18Bet 1.09
  • Over 1.5 goals80% · fair 1.25Bet 1.12
  • Over 2.5 goals62% · fair 1.62Bet 1.43

xG 1.1–2.2 · likeliest 1-2 (10%)

Genclerbirligi host Galatasaray in the Süper Lig on Saturday 17 October, kick-off 16:00 EAT. The match is played at Eryaman Stadium (Ankara). Genclerbirligi are 11th in the table with 8 points from 7 games; Galatasaray are 1st with 16.

Who will win Genclerbirligi vs Galatasaray?

The model makes Galatasaray clear favourites at 66%, with the draw at 19% and Genclerbirligi at 15%. Megapari's 1.40 on Galatasaray is shorter than our fair price of 1.51: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.

Four markets clear our thresholds for this match: Galatasaray to win (66%), draw or Galatasaray (85%), over 1.5 goals (80%) and over 2.5 goals (62%).

BetProbabilityFair oddsMegapari
Genclerbirligi to win 15% 6.69 7.49
Draw 19% 5.25 5.51
Galatasaray to win Tip 66% 1.51 1.40
Genclerbirligi or draw 34% 2.94 3.12
Draw or Galatasaray Tip 85% 1.18 1.09
Genclerbirligi or Galatasaray 81% 1.24 1.17
Over 1.5 goals Tip 80% 1.25 1.12
Over 2.5 goals Tip 62% 1.62 1.43
Under 2.5 goals 38% 2.61 2.60
Under 3.5 goals 63% 1.58 1.78
Both teams to score: yes 56% 1.77 1.63
Both teams to score: no 44% 2.29 2.17

Odds: Megapari, as of 10 October 2026, 17:08 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Genclerbirligi vs Galatasaray

Goals are expected: 1.1 for Genclerbirligi and 2.2 for Galatasaray, 3.2 in all, which puts over 2.5 goals at 62%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 56%.

Genclerbirligi vs Galatasaray correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 1-2 at 10%, ahead of 1-1 (9%) and 0-2 (9%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 10 matches like this one.

Correct scoreProbabilityFair odds
1-29.9%10.13
1-19.4%10.59
0-29.4%10.66
0-18.3%12.11
1-37.2%13.97

Form: Genclerbirligi and Galatasaray in their last five

Genclerbirligi have not won in 5 (2 draws, 3 defeats) and scored 4 in that run. Galatasaray have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -2. The results cover every competition in our data.

Genclerbirligi: last five matches

DateOpponentScoreResult
10 Oct 2026Amedspor (home)Süper Lig2-2D
19 Sep 2026İstanbul Başakşehir (away)Süper Lig0-4L
13 Sep 2026Kasimpasa (home)Süper Lig1-2L
6 Sep 2026Trabzonspor (away)Süper Lig0-5L
28 Aug 2026BB Erzurumspor (home)Süper Lig1-1D

Galatasaray: last five matches

DateOpponentScoreResult
9 Oct 2026Kasimpasa (home)Süper Lig3-1W
19 Sep 2026Trabzonspor (away)Süper Lig0-4L
13 Sep 2026Kocaelispor (home)Süper Lig1-0W
9 Sep 2026Sporting CP (away)UEFA Champions League1-3L
4 Sep 2026İstanbul Başakşehir (away)Süper Lig3-2W

Genclerbirligi vs Galatasaray head to head

In their last two meetings in our data, Genclerbirligi won none, Galatasaray won 2 and none was drawn. The most recent, on 18 April 2026, finished Genclerbirligi 1–2 Galatasaray.

DateMatchScore
18 Apr 2026Genclerbirligi – GalatasaraySüper Lig1-2
22 Nov 2025Galatasaray – GenclerbirligiSüper Lig3-2

All the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.

Where to place this bet

Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.

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