Genk vs Standard Liege prediction: Belgian Pro League, Sunday 25 October

Genk host Standard Liege in the Belgian Pro League on Sunday 25 October, kick-off 15:30 EAT. The match is played at Cegeka Arena (Genk). Genk are 7th in the table with 12 points from 8 games; Standard Liege are 9th with 11.

Who will win Genk vs Standard Liege?

Genk are favourites, though not by much: 53% to win, 25% for the draw and 21% for Standard Liege. Megapari's 1.77 on Genk is shorter than our fair price of 1.88: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.

No market clears our thresholds for this match, so it carries no tip in the daily lists; the table below is the model's full view of it.

Odds: Megapari, as of 18 October 2026, 17:04 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Genk vs Standard Liege

Expected goals are 1.6 for Genk and 0.9 for Standard Liege, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 54%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 55%.

Genk vs Standard Liege correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 1-0 at 12%, ahead of 1-1 (12%) and 2-0 (10%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 8 matches like this one.

Form: Genk and Standard Liege in their last five

Genk have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +4. Standard Liege have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -2. The results cover every competition in our data.

Genk: last five matches

Standard Liege: last five matches

Genk vs Standard Liege head to head

In their last six meetings in our data, Genk won 1, Standard Liege won 2 and 3 were drawn. The most recent, on 16 May 2026, finished Standard Liege 0–0 Genk.

All the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.