Genoa CFC vs Venezia prediction: Serie A, Sunday 25 October

Genoa CFC host Venezia in Serie A on Sunday 25 October, kick-off 17:00 EAT. The match is played at Luigi Ferraris (Genoa). Genoa CFC are 19th in the table with 4 points from 7 games; Venezia are 20th with 3.

Who will win Genoa CFC vs Venezia?

There is little to separate the sides: Genoa CFC 42%, the draw 28%, Venezia 29%. Megapari's 2.14 on Genoa CFC is shorter than our fair price of 2.38: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.

No market clears our thresholds for this match, so it carries no tip in the daily lists; the table below is the model's full view of it.

Odds: Megapari, as of 18 October 2026, 17:04 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Genoa CFC vs Venezia

Expected goals are 1.3 for Genoa CFC and 1.2 for Venezia, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 49%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 53%.

Genoa CFC vs Venezia correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 1-1 at 13%, ahead of 1-0 (10%) and 0-1 (10%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 7 matches like this one.

Form: Genoa CFC and Venezia in their last five

Genoa CFC have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -5. Venezia have won 1 and lost 4 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -6. The results cover every competition in our data.

Genoa CFC: last five matches

Venezia: last five matches

Genoa CFC vs Venezia head to head

In their last two meetings in our data, Genoa CFC won 1, Venezia won 1 and none was drawn. The most recent, on 17 February 2025, finished Genoa CFC 2–0 Venezia.

How the odds have moved

Megapari's price on Genoa CFC has shortened from 2.21 to 2.14 since the line opened: the market has moved towards them. Over 2.5 goals has moved from 1.96 to 1.97, so the market now expects fewer goals than at the open.

Prices from Megapari: the first one we recorded and the latest before kick-off.

The rest of Serie A is on our Serie A page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.