Gent vs Anderlecht prediction: Belgian Pro League, Sunday 25 October

Gent host Anderlecht in the Belgian Pro League on Sunday 25 October, kick-off 20:30 EAT. The match is played at Planet Group Arena (Gent). Gent are 1st in the table with 22 points from 8 games; Anderlecht are 5th with 16.

Who will win Gent vs Anderlecht?

There is little to separate the sides: Gent 38%, the draw 30%, Anderlecht 32%. At 30% the draw is a real option, more likely than in most matches. Megapari's 2.54 on Gent sits right on our fair price of 2.62.

No market clears our thresholds for this match, so it carries no tip in the daily lists; the table below is the model's full view of it.

Odds: Megapari, as of 18 October 2026, 23:45 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Gent vs Anderlecht

Expected goals are 1.3 for Gent and 1.1 for Anderlecht, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 47%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 53%.

Gent vs Anderlecht correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 1-1 at 14%, ahead of 1-0 (11%) and 0-1 (10%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 7 matches like this one.

Form: Gent and Anderlecht in their last five

Gent are unbeaten in 5 (4 wins, 1 draw), with 9 goals scored and 2 conceded. Anderlecht have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +3. The results cover every competition in our data.

Gent: last five matches

Anderlecht: last five matches

Gent vs Anderlecht head to head

In their last six meetings in our data, Gent won 1, Anderlecht won 4 and 1 was drawn. The most recent, on 10 May 2026, finished Gent 1–1 Anderlecht.

All the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.