Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano prediction: LaLiga, Monday 19 October

Getafe host Rayo Vallecano in LaLiga on Monday 19 October, kick-off 22:00 EAT. The match is played at Coliseum (Getafe). Getafe are 14th in the table with 8 points from 8 games; Rayo Vallecano are 13th with 8.

Who will win Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano?

There is little to separate the sides: Getafe 33%, the draw 33%, Rayo Vallecano 33%. At 33% the draw is a real option, more likely than in most matches. Megapari's 2.99 on Getafe sits right on our fair price of 3.00.

Three markets clear our thresholds for this match: draw (33%), under 2.5 goals (65%) and under 3.5 goals (86%).

Odds: Megapari, as of 12 October 2026, 23:45 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano

The numbers point to a tight game: expected goals of 0.9 and 0.8, and under 2.5 goals at 65%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 44%.

Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 0-0 at 20%, ahead of 1-0 (16%) and 0-1 (15%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 5 matches like this one.

Form: Getafe and Rayo Vallecano in their last five

Getafe have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -3. Rayo Vallecano have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -4. The results cover every competition in our data.

Getafe: last five matches

Rayo Vallecano: last five matches

Getafe vs Rayo Vallecano head to head

In their last six meetings in our data, Getafe won none, Rayo Vallecano won 3 and 3 were drawn. The most recent, on 3 May 2026, finished Getafe 0–2 Rayo Vallecano.

How the odds have moved

Megapari's price on Getafe has drifted from 2.86 to 2.99 since the line opened: the market rates them lower than it did at the open. Over 2.5 goals has moved from 2.59 to 2.60, so the market now expects fewer goals than at the open.

Prices from Megapari: the first one we recorded and the latest before kick-off.

The rest of LaLiga is on our La Liga page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.