Gladbach vs TSG Hoffenheim prediction: Bundesliga, Sunday 18 October

Gladbach host TSG Hoffenheim in the Bundesliga on Sunday 18 October, kick-off 18:30 EAT. The match is played at Ista Borussia-Park (Monchengladbach). Gladbach are 18th in the table with 0 points from 5 games; TSG Hoffenheim are 17th with 3.

Who will win Gladbach vs TSG Hoffenheim?

There is little to separate the sides: Gladbach 34%, the draw 23%, TSG Hoffenheim 43%. Megapari's 1.99 on TSG Hoffenheim is shorter than our fair price of 2.30: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.

Three markets clear our thresholds for this match: over 1.5 goals (83%), over 2.5 goals (65%) and both teams to score: yes (65%).

Odds: Megapari, as of 11 October 2026, 23:47 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Gladbach vs TSG Hoffenheim

Goals are expected: 1.8 for Gladbach and 1.7 for TSG Hoffenheim, 3.5 in all, which puts over 2.5 goals at 65%. Both teams score in this match with a probability of 65%.

Gladbach vs TSG Hoffenheim correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 1-1 at 10%, ahead of 2-1 (8%) and 1-2 (8%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 11 matches like this one.

Form: Gladbach and TSG Hoffenheim in their last five

Gladbach have not won in 5 (0 draws, 5 defeats) and scored 7 in that run. TSG Hoffenheim have won 1 and lost 4 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -5. The results cover every competition in our data.

Gladbach: last five matches

TSG Hoffenheim: last five matches

Gladbach vs TSG Hoffenheim head to head

In their last six meetings in our data, Gladbach won 3, TSG Hoffenheim won 2 and 1 was drawn. The most recent, on 16 May 2026, finished Gladbach 4–0 TSG Hoffenheim.

The rest of the Bundesliga is on our Bundesliga page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.