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Eredivisie

Go Ahead Eagles vs Telstar prediction: Eredivisie, Friday 23 October

TipsQuant editorial team · Updated

Go Ahead Eagles

Telstar

Go Ahead Eagles
56%Megapari 1.52
Draw
22%Megapari 4.64
Telstar
22%Megapari 5.55
  • Go Ahead Eagles to win56% · fair 1.78Bet 1.52
  • Over 1.5 goals79% · fair 1.27Bet 1.06
  • Over 2.5 goals62% · fair 1.60Bet 1.33
  • Both teams to score: yes60% · fair 1.66Bet 1.45

xG 1.8–1.3 · likeliest 1-1 (11%)

Go Ahead Eagles host Telstar in Eredivisie on Friday 23 October, kick-off 21:00 EAT. The match is played at De Adelarshorst (Deventer). Go Ahead Eagles are 8th in the table with 11 points from 8 games; Telstar are 15th with 6.

Who will win Go Ahead Eagles vs Telstar?

Go Ahead Eagles are favourites, though not by much: 56% to win, 22% for the draw and 22% for Telstar. Megapari's 1.52 on Go Ahead Eagles is shorter than our fair price of 1.78: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.

Four markets clear our thresholds for this match: Go Ahead Eagles to win (56%), over 1.5 goals (79%), over 2.5 goals (62%) and both teams to score: yes (60%).

BetProbabilityFair oddsMegapari
Go Ahead Eagles to win Tip 56% 1.78 1.52
Draw 22% 4.51 4.64
Telstar to win 22% 4.63 5.55
Go Ahead Eagles or draw 78% 1.28 1.15
Draw or Telstar 44% 2.28 2.52
Go Ahead Eagles or Telstar 78% 1.28 1.20
Over 1.5 goals Tip 79% 1.27 1.06
Over 2.5 goals Tip 62% 1.60 1.33
Under 2.5 goals 38% 2.66 2.83
Under 3.5 goals 66% 1.53 1.84
Both teams to score: yes Tip 60% 1.66 1.45
Both teams to score: no 40% 2.52 2.56

Odds: Megapari, as of 16 October 2026, 23:48 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Go Ahead Eagles vs Telstar

Goals are expected: 1.8 for Go Ahead Eagles and 1.3 for Telstar, 3.1 in all, which puts over 2.5 goals at 62%. Both teams score in this match with a probability of 60%.

Go Ahead Eagles vs Telstar correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 1-1 at 11%, ahead of 2-1 (10%) and 1-0 (8%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 9 matches like this one.

Correct scoreProbabilityFair odds
1-111.0%9.08
2-19.6%10.43
1-08.0%12.50
2-07.6%13.11
1-26.7%15.04

Form: Go Ahead Eagles and Telstar in their last five

Go Ahead Eagles have not won in 5 (4 draws, 1 defeat) and scored 10 in that run. Telstar have not won in 5 (3 draws, 2 defeats) and scored 4 in that run. The results cover every competition in our data.

Go Ahead Eagles: last five matches

DateOpponentScoreResult
10 Oct 2026Sparta Rotterdam (home)Eredivisie3-3D
20 Sep 2026NEC (away)Eredivisie1-1D
12 Sep 2026Groningen (home)Eredivisie1-1D
5 Sep 2026Utrecht (away)Eredivisie3-3D
29 Aug 2026AZ (away)Eredivisie2-5L

Telstar: last five matches

DateOpponentScoreResult
11 Oct 2026ADO Den Haag (home)Eredivisie2-2D
20 Sep 2026AZ (away)Eredivisie0-1L
13 Sep 2026Heerenveen (away)Eredivisie0-0D
9 Sep 2026Twente (away)Eredivisie0-1L
6 Sep 2026Cambuur (home)Eredivisie2-2D

Go Ahead Eagles vs Telstar head to head

In their last two meetings in our data, Go Ahead Eagles won none, Telstar won 1 and 1 was drawn. The most recent, on 8 February 2026, finished Go Ahead Eagles 1–1 Telstar.

DateMatchScore
8 Feb 2026Go Ahead Eagles – TelstarEredivisie1-1
28 Sep 2025Telstar – Go Ahead EaglesEredivisie4-2

All the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.

Where to place this bet

Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.

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