Gor Mahia vs Murang'a Seal prediction: Kenyan Premier League, Tuesday 13 October

Gor Mahia host Murang'a Seal in the Kenyan Premier League on Tuesday 13 October, kick-off 19:00 EAT. The match is played at Estadio Nacional Nyayo (Nairobi).

Who will win Gor Mahia vs Murang'a Seal?

The model makes Gor Mahia clear favourites at 61%, with the draw at 25% and Murang'a Seal at 13%. Megapari's 1.45 on Gor Mahia is shorter than our fair price of 1.63: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.

Three markets clear our thresholds for this match: Gor Mahia to win (61%), Gor Mahia or draw (87%) and under 3.5 goals (78%).

Odds: Megapari, as of 12 October 2026, 12:04 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Gor Mahia vs Murang'a Seal

Expected goals are 1.6 for Gor Mahia and 0.6 for Murang'a Seal, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 43%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 43%.

Gor Mahia vs Murang'a Seal correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 1-0 at 17%, ahead of 2-0 (14%) and 1-1 (11%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 6 matches like this one.

Form: Gor Mahia and Murang'a Seal in their last five

Gor Mahia have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +1. Murang'a Seal have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +1. The results cover every competition in our data.

Gor Mahia: last five matches

Murang'a Seal: last five matches

Gor Mahia vs Murang'a Seal head to head

In their last six meetings in our data, Gor Mahia won 3, Murang'a Seal won none and 3 were drawn. The most recent, on 17 May 2026, finished Murang'a Seal 1–3 Gor Mahia.

The rest of the Kenyan Premier League is on our FKF Premier League page, every match tomorrow is priced on Tomorrow and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.