Süper Lig
Goztepe vs Arca Corum prediction: Süper Lig, Sunday 25 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Goztepe
Arca Corum
- Goztepe
- 41%Megapari 2.22
- Draw
- 26%Megapari 3.77
- Arca Corum
- 33%Megapari 3.17
- Both teams to score: yes59% · fair 1.71Bet 1.50
xG 1.4–1.4 · likeliest 1-1 (12%)
Goztepe host Arca Corum in the Süper Lig on Sunday 25 October, kick-off 19:00 EAT. The match is played at Gursel Aksel Stadium (Izmir). Goztepe are 13th in the table with 9 points from 8 games; Arca Corum are 6th with 13.
Who will win Goztepe vs Arca Corum?
There is little to separate the sides: Goztepe 41%, the draw 26%, Arca Corum 33%. Megapari's 2.22 on Goztepe is shorter than our fair price of 2.46: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.
One market clears our thresholds for this match: both teams to score: yes (59%).
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | Megapari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goztepe to win | 41% | 2.46 | 2.22 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.86 | 3.77 |
| Arca Corum to win | 33% | 2.99 | 3.17 |
| Goztepe or draw | 67% | 1.50 | 1.39 |
| Draw or Arca Corum | 59% | 1.68 | 1.71 |
| Goztepe or Arca Corum | 74% | 1.35 | 1.30 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% | 1.31 | 1.15 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 1.78 | 1.65 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 44% | 2.28 | 2.35 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 69% | 1.45 | 1.46 |
| Both teams to score: yes Tip | 59% | 1.71 | 1.50 |
| Both teams to score: no | 41% | 2.42 | 2.42 |
Odds: Megapari, as of 18 October 2026, 23:45 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Goztepe vs Arca Corum
Expected goals are 1.4 for Goztepe and 1.4 for Arca Corum, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 56%. Both teams score in this match with a probability of 59%.
Goztepe vs Arca Corum correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-1 at 12%, ahead of 2-1 (8%) and 1-2 (8%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 8 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 12.3% | 8.13 |
| 2-1 | 8.4% | 11.85 |
| 1-2 | 8.3% | 12.09 |
| 1-0 | 8.0% | 12.53 |
| 0-1 | 7.8% | 12.80 |
Form: Goztepe and Arca Corum in their last five
Goztepe have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +3. Arca Corum have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +10. The results cover every competition in our data.
Goztepe: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct 2026 | Kocaelispor (away)Süper Lig | 2-1 | W |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Eyupspor (away)Süper Lig | 4-0 | W |
| 20 Sep 2026 | Caykur Rizespor (home)Süper Lig | 2-2 | D |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Alanyaspor (away)Süper Lig | 2-2 | D |
| 7 Sep 2026 | Gaziantep (home)Süper Lig | 2-4 | L |
Arca Corum: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct 2026 | Caykur Rizespor (home)Süper Lig | 2-1 | W |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Gaziantep (away)Süper Lig | 3-0 | W |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Alanyaspor (home)Süper Lig | 1-2 | L |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Samsunspor (away)Süper Lig | 5-1 | W |
| 6 Sep 2026 | Eyupspor (home)Süper Lig | 3-0 | W |
Goztepe vs Arca Corum head to head
Goztepe and Arca Corum have not met in the matches our data covers, which go back three seasons.
All the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.
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