Green Buffaloes vs Nkwazi prediction: Zambia Super League, Sunday 18 October

Green Buffaloes host Nkwazi in the Zambia Super League on Sunday 18 October, kick-off 16:00 EAT. The match is played at Sunset (Lusaka). Green Buffaloes are 1st in the table with 4 points from 2 games; Nkwazi are 13th with 1.

Who will win Green Buffaloes vs Nkwazi?

There is little to separate the sides: Green Buffaloes 41%, the draw 35%, Nkwazi 24%. At 35% the draw is a real option, more likely than in most matches. Megapari's 2.04 on Green Buffaloes is shorter than our fair price of 2.41: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.

Two markets clear our thresholds for this match: under 2.5 goals (68%) and under 3.5 goals (88%).

Odds: Megapari, as of 17 October 2026, 23:46 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Green Buffaloes vs Nkwazi

The numbers point to a tight game: expected goals of 0.9 and 0.6, and under 2.5 goals at 68%. Nkwazi may struggle to score at all: both teams to score is only 41%.

Green Buffaloes vs Nkwazi correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 0-0 at 24%, ahead of 1-0 (19%) and 0-1 (13%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 4 matches like this one.

Form: Green Buffaloes and Nkwazi in their last five

Green Buffaloes have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +0. Nkwazi have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +0. The results cover every competition in our data.

Green Buffaloes: last five matches

Nkwazi: last five matches

Green Buffaloes vs Nkwazi head to head

In their last five meetings in our data, Green Buffaloes won 1, Nkwazi won 3 and 1 was drawn. The most recent, on 7 February 2026, finished Green Buffaloes 0–0 Nkwazi.

The rest of the Zambia Super League is on our Zambia Super League page, every match tomorrow is priced on Tomorrow and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.