Hibernian vs Celtic prediction: Scottish Premiership, Sunday 25 October

Hibernian host Celtic in the Scottish Premiership on Sunday 25 October, kick-off 15:00 EAT. The match is played at Easter Road (Edinburgh). Hibernian are 12th in the table with 7 points from 9 games; Celtic are 1st with 21.

Who will win Hibernian vs Celtic?

Celtic are favourites, though not by much: 51% to win, 24% for the draw and 24% for Hibernian. Megapari's 1.67 on Celtic is shorter than our fair price of 1.95: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.

No market clears our thresholds for this match, so it carries no tip in the daily lists; the table below is the model's full view of it.

Odds: Megapari, as of 18 October 2026, 17:04 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Hibernian vs Celtic

Expected goals are 1.2 for Hibernian and 1.6 for Celtic, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 55%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 56%.

Hibernian vs Celtic correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 1-1 at 12%, ahead of 1-2 (9%) and 0-1 (9%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 8 matches like this one.

Form: Hibernian and Celtic in their last five

Hibernian have not won in 5 (1 draw, 4 defeats) and scored 3 in that run. Celtic have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -3. The results cover every competition in our data.

Hibernian: last five matches

Celtic: last five matches

Hibernian vs Celtic head to head

In their last six meetings in our data, Hibernian won 2, Celtic won 3 and 1 was drawn. The most recent, on 3 May 2026, finished Hibernian 1–2 Celtic.

All the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.