Hibernian vs Falkirk prediction: Scottish Premiership, Saturday 17 October

Hibernian host Falkirk in the Scottish Premiership on Saturday 17 October, kick-off 17:00 EAT. The match is played at Easter Road (Edinburgh). Hibernian are 10th in the table with 7 points from 7 games; Falkirk are 11th with 6.

Who will win Hibernian vs Falkirk?

Hibernian are favourites, though not by much: 55% to win, 25% for the draw and 21% for Falkirk. Megapari's 1.72 on Hibernian is shorter than our fair price of 1.83: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.

No market clears our thresholds for this match, so it carries no tip in the daily lists; the table below is the model's full view of it.

Odds: Megapari, as of 10 October 2026, 17:08 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Hibernian vs Falkirk

Expected goals are 1.8 for Hibernian and 1.0 for Falkirk, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 53%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 54%.

Hibernian vs Falkirk correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 1-1 at 12%, ahead of 1-0 (11%) and 2-0 (10%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 9 matches like this one.

Form: Hibernian and Falkirk in their last five

Hibernian have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -3. Falkirk have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -1. The results cover every competition in our data.

Hibernian: last five matches

Falkirk: last five matches

Hibernian vs Falkirk head to head

In their last four meetings in our data, Hibernian won 2, Falkirk won 1 and 1 was drawn. The most recent, on 9 May 2026, finished Falkirk 1–3 Hibernian.

All the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.