Hull City vs Brentford prediction: Premier League, Sunday 25 October

Hull City host Brentford in the Premier League on Sunday 25 October, kick-off 17:00 EAT. The match is played at MKM Stadium (Kingston upon Hull). Hull City are 9th in the table with 9 points from 7 games; Brentford are 6th with 10.

Who will win Hull City vs Brentford?

Brentford are favourites, though not by much: 54% to win, 25% for the draw and 22% for Hull City. Megapari's 1.79 on Brentford is shorter than our fair price of 1.86: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.

No market clears our thresholds for this match, so it carries no tip in the daily lists; the table below is the model's full view of it.

Odds: Megapari, as of 18 October 2026, 17:04 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Hull City vs Brentford

Expected goals are 1.0 for Hull City and 1.7 for Brentford, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 54%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 55%.

Hull City vs Brentford correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 1-1 at 12%, ahead of 0-1 (11%) and 1-2 (10%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 8 matches like this one.

Form: Hull City and Brentford in their last five

Hull City have not won in 5 (3 draws, 2 defeats) and scored 5 in that run. Brentford have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +2. The results cover every competition in our data.

Hull City: last five matches

Brentford: last five matches

Hull City vs Brentford head to head

Hull City and Brentford have not met in the matches our data covers, which go back three seasons.

How the odds have moved

Megapari's price on Brentford has drifted from 1.71 to 1.79 since the line opened: the market rates them lower than it did at the open. Over 2.5 goals has moved from 1.69 to 1.73, so the market now expects fewer goals than at the open.

Prices from Megapari: the first one we recorded and the latest before kick-off.

The rest of the Premier League is on our Premier League page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.