UEFA Conference League
Iberia vs Mjallby prediction: UEFA Conference League, Thursday 22 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Iberia
Mjallby
- Iberia
- 27%Megapari 3.77
- Draw
- 29%Megapari 3.50
- Mjallby
- 44%Megapari 2.06
- Under 3.5 goals79% · fair 1.26Bet 1.35
xG 0.9–1.2 · likeliest 0-1 (14%)
Iberia host Mjallby in the UEFA Conference League on Thursday 22 October, kick-off 19:45 EAT. The match is played at Mikheil Meskhi 2 (Tbilisi). Iberia are 34th in the table with 0 points from 1 games; Mjallby are 5th with 3.
Who will win Iberia vs Mjallby?
There is little to separate the sides: Iberia 27%, the draw 29%, Mjallby 44%. Megapari's 2.06 on Mjallby is shorter than our fair price of 2.25: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.
One market clears our thresholds for this match: under 3.5 goals (79%).
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | Megapari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iberia to win | 27% | 3.77 | 3.77 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.45 | 3.50 |
| Mjallby to win | 44% | 2.25 | 2.06 |
| Iberia or draw | 55% | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Draw or Mjallby | 73% | 1.36 | 1.29 |
| Iberia or Mjallby | 71% | 1.41 | 1.32 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 68% | 1.47 | 1.22 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.11 | 1.84 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.90 | 2.03 |
| Under 3.5 goals Tip | 79% | 1.26 | 1.35 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 52% | 1.91 | 1.65 |
| Both teams to score: no | 48% | 2.10 | 2.11 |
Odds: Megapari, as of 18 October 2026, 17:04 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Iberia vs Mjallby
Expected goals are 0.9 for Iberia and 1.2 for Mjallby, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 48%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 52%.
Iberia vs Mjallby correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 0-1 at 14%, ahead of 1-1 (14%) and 0-0 (13%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 7 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | 13.9% | 7.19 |
| 1-1 | 13.8% | 7.26 |
| 0-0 | 12.5% | 7.99 |
| 1-0 | 10.5% | 9.55 |
| 0-2 | 8.7% | 11.52 |
Form: Iberia and Mjallby in their last five
Iberia have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -6. Mjallby have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -2. The results cover every competition in our data.
Iberia: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct 2026 | Sint-Truidense (away)UEFA Conference League | 0-2 | L |
| 27 Aug 2026 | Jagiellonia Białystok (home)UEFA Europa League | 1-2 | L |
| 20 Aug 2026 | Jagiellonia Białystok (away)UEFA Europa League | 0-4 | L |
| 11 Aug 2026 | Larne (home)UEFA Europa League | 2-1 | W |
| 4 Aug 2026 | Larne (away)UEFA Europa League | 0-0 | D |
Mjallby: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct 2026 | Vasteras SK (away)Allsvenskan | 0-1 | L |
| 15 Oct 2026 | Inter Club d'Escaldes (home)UEFA Conference League | 2-0 | W |
| 10 Oct 2026 | Degerfors (home)Allsvenskan | 1-1 | D |
| 20 Sep 2026 | GAIS (home)Allsvenskan | 0-3 | L |
| 16 Sep 2026 | AIK (away)Allsvenskan | 1-1 | D |
Iberia vs Mjallby head to head
Iberia and Mjallby have not met in the matches our data covers, which go back three seasons.
All the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.
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