Premier League
Ipswich Town vs Nottingham Forest prediction: Premier League, Friday 23 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Ipswich Town
Nottingham Forest
- Ipswich Town
- 31%Megapari 3.10
- Draw
- 27%Megapari 3.63
- Nottingham Forest
- 42%Megapari 2.39
No tip: no market clears our thresholds for this match.
xG 1.2–1.5 · likeliest 1-1 (13%)
Ipswich Town host Nottingham Forest in the Premier League on Friday 23 October, kick-off 22:00 EAT. The match is played at Portman Road (Ipswich). Ipswich Town are 10th in the table with 9 points from 6 games; Nottingham Forest are 15th with 5.
Who will win Ipswich Town vs Nottingham Forest?
There is little to separate the sides: Ipswich Town 31%, the draw 27%, Nottingham Forest 42%. Megapari's 2.39 on Nottingham Forest sits right on our fair price of 2.36.
No market clears our thresholds for this match, so it carries no tip in the daily lists; the table below is the model's full view of it.
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | Megapari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ipswich Town to win | 31% | 3.24 | 3.10 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.73 | 3.63 |
| Nottingham Forest to win | 42% | 2.36 | 2.39 |
| Ipswich Town or draw | 58% | 1.73 | 1.65 |
| Draw or Nottingham Forest | 69% | 1.45 | 1.42 |
| Ipswich Town or Nottingham Forest | 73% | 1.37 | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% | 1.33 | 1.22 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.90 | 1.84 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.11 | 2.12 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 71% | 1.41 | 1.38 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | 1.79 | 1.61 |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | 2.27 | 2.20 |
Odds: Megapari, as of 16 October 2026, 23:48 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Ipswich Town vs Nottingham Forest
Expected goals are 1.2 for Ipswich Town and 1.5 for Nottingham Forest, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 53%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 56%.
Ipswich Town vs Nottingham Forest correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-1 at 13%, ahead of 0-1 (10%) and 1-2 (9%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 8 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 12.6% | 7.92 |
| 0-1 | 9.7% | 10.32 |
| 1-2 | 9.0% | 11.05 |
| 1-0 | 7.7% | 13.05 |
| 0-2 | 7.6% | 13.19 |
Form: Ipswich Town and Nottingham Forest in their last five
Ipswich Town have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -4. Nottingham Forest have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -2. The results cover every competition in our data.
Ipswich Town: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct 2026 | Fulham (home)Premier League | 2-1 | W |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Everton (away)Premier League | 0-1 | L |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Crystal Palace (away)Premier League | 3-2 | W |
| 4 Sep 2026 | Liverpool (home)Premier League | 0-2 | L |
| 30 Aug 2026 | Man United (away)Premier League | 2-5 | L |
Nottingham Forest: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct 2026 | Crystal Palace (away)Premier League | 1-3 | L |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Coventry City (home)Premier League | 0-1 | L |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Aston Villa (away)Premier League | 2-1 | W |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Tottenham (home)Premier League | 0-0 | D |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Liverpool (away)Premier League | 2-2 | D |
Ipswich Town vs Nottingham Forest head to head
In their last two meetings in our data, Ipswich Town won none, Nottingham Forest won 2 and none was drawn. The most recent, on 15 March 2025, finished Ipswich Town 2–4 Nottingham Forest.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar 2025 | Ipswich Town – Nottingham ForestPremier League | 2-4 |
| 30 Nov 2024 | Nottingham Forest – Ipswich TownPremier League | 1-0 |
How the odds have moved
Megapari's price on Nottingham Forest has shortened from 2.55 to 2.39 since the line opened: the market has moved towards them. Over 2.5 goals has moved from 1.97 to 1.84, so the market now expects more goals than at the open.
| Bet | Opening odds | Latest odds |
|---|---|---|
| Ipswich Town to win | 2.96 | 3.10 ↑ |
| Draw | 3.52 | 3.63 ↑ |
| Nottingham Forest to win | 2.55 | 2.39 ↓ |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.97 | 1.84 ↓ |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.97 | 2.12 ↑ |
| Both teams to score: yes | 1.68 | 1.61 ↓ |
| Both teams to score: no | 2.08 | 2.20 ↑ |
Prices from Megapari: the first one we recorded and the latest before kick-off.
The rest of the Premier League is on our Premier League page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.
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