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Ipswich Town vs Nottingham Forest prediction: Premier League, Friday 23 October

TipsQuant editorial team · Updated

Ipswich Town

Nottingham Forest

Ipswich Town
31%Megapari 3.10
Draw
27%Megapari 3.63
Nottingham Forest
42%Megapari 2.39

No tip: no market clears our thresholds for this match.

xG 1.2–1.5 · likeliest 1-1 (13%)

Ipswich Town host Nottingham Forest in the Premier League on Friday 23 October, kick-off 22:00 EAT. The match is played at Portman Road (Ipswich). Ipswich Town are 10th in the table with 9 points from 6 games; Nottingham Forest are 15th with 5.

Who will win Ipswich Town vs Nottingham Forest?

There is little to separate the sides: Ipswich Town 31%, the draw 27%, Nottingham Forest 42%. Megapari's 2.39 on Nottingham Forest sits right on our fair price of 2.36.

No market clears our thresholds for this match, so it carries no tip in the daily lists; the table below is the model's full view of it.

BetProbabilityFair oddsMegapari
Ipswich Town to win 31% 3.24 3.10
Draw 27% 3.73 3.63
Nottingham Forest to win 42% 2.36 2.39
Ipswich Town or draw 58% 1.73 1.65
Draw or Nottingham Forest 69% 1.45 1.42
Ipswich Town or Nottingham Forest 73% 1.37 1.33
Over 1.5 goals 75% 1.33 1.22
Over 2.5 goals 53% 1.90 1.84
Under 2.5 goals 47% 2.11 2.12
Under 3.5 goals 71% 1.41 1.38
Both teams to score: yes 56% 1.79 1.61
Both teams to score: no 44% 2.27 2.20

Odds: Megapari, as of 16 October 2026, 23:48 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Ipswich Town vs Nottingham Forest

Expected goals are 1.2 for Ipswich Town and 1.5 for Nottingham Forest, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 53%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 56%.

Ipswich Town vs Nottingham Forest correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 1-1 at 13%, ahead of 0-1 (10%) and 1-2 (9%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 8 matches like this one.

Correct scoreProbabilityFair odds
1-112.6%7.92
0-19.7%10.32
1-29.0%11.05
1-07.7%13.05
0-27.6%13.19

Form: Ipswich Town and Nottingham Forest in their last five

Ipswich Town have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -4. Nottingham Forest have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -2. The results cover every competition in our data.

Ipswich Town: last five matches

DateOpponentScoreResult
10 Oct 2026Fulham (home)Premier League2-1W
19 Sep 2026Everton (away)Premier League0-1L
12 Sep 2026Crystal Palace (away)Premier League3-2W
4 Sep 2026Liverpool (home)Premier League0-2L
30 Aug 2026Man United (away)Premier League2-5L

Nottingham Forest: last five matches

DateOpponentScoreResult
11 Oct 2026Crystal Palace (away)Premier League1-3L
19 Sep 2026Coventry City (home)Premier League0-1L
12 Sep 2026Aston Villa (away)Premier League2-1W
5 Sep 2026Tottenham (home)Premier League0-0D
29 Aug 2026Liverpool (away)Premier League2-2D

Ipswich Town vs Nottingham Forest head to head

In their last two meetings in our data, Ipswich Town won none, Nottingham Forest won 2 and none was drawn. The most recent, on 15 March 2025, finished Ipswich Town 2–4 Nottingham Forest.

DateMatchScore
15 Mar 2025Ipswich Town – Nottingham ForestPremier League2-4
30 Nov 2024Nottingham Forest – Ipswich TownPremier League1-0

How the odds have moved

Megapari's price on Nottingham Forest has shortened from 2.55 to 2.39 since the line opened: the market has moved towards them. Over 2.5 goals has moved from 1.97 to 1.84, so the market now expects more goals than at the open.

BetOpening oddsLatest odds
Ipswich Town to win2.963.10 ↑
Draw3.523.63 ↑
Nottingham Forest to win2.552.39 ↓
Over 2.5 goals1.971.84 ↓
Under 2.5 goals1.972.12 ↑
Both teams to score: yes1.681.61 ↓
Both teams to score: no2.082.20 ↑

Prices from Megapari: the first one we recorded and the latest before kick-off.

The rest of the Premier League is on our Premier League page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.

Where to place this bet

Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.

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