İstanbul Başakşehir vs Gaziantep prediction: Süper Lig, Sunday 18 October

İstanbul Başakşehir host Gaziantep in the Süper Lig on Sunday 18 October, kick-off 19:00 EAT. The match is played at Başakşehir Fatih Terim (Istanbul). İstanbul Başakşehir are 11th in the table with 8 points from 7 games; Gaziantep are 12th with 8.

Who will win İstanbul Başakşehir vs Gaziantep?

İstanbul Başakşehir are favourites, though not by much: 59% to win, 22% for the draw and 19% for Gaziantep. Megapari's 1.72 on İstanbul Başakşehir sits right on our fair price of 1.69.

Three markets clear our thresholds for this match: İstanbul Başakşehir to win (59%), İstanbul Başakşehir or draw (81%) and over 1.5 goals (79%).

Odds: Megapari, as of 11 October 2026, 23:47 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in İstanbul Başakşehir vs Gaziantep

Expected goals are 2.1 for İstanbul Başakşehir and 1.0 for Gaziantep, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 58%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 56%.

İstanbul Başakşehir vs Gaziantep correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 2-0 at 10%, ahead of 1-1 (10%) and 2-1 (10%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 10 matches like this one.

Form: İstanbul Başakşehir and Gaziantep in their last five

İstanbul Başakşehir have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -2. Gaziantep have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -4. The results cover every competition in our data.

İstanbul Başakşehir: last five matches

Gaziantep: last five matches

İstanbul Başakşehir vs Gaziantep head to head

In their last four meetings in our data, İstanbul Başakşehir won 3, Gaziantep won 1 and none was drawn. The most recent, on 16 May 2026, finished Gaziantep 1–2 İstanbul Başakşehir.

All the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.