UEFA Conference League
Jablonec vs Brighton prediction: UEFA Conference League, Thursday 22 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Jablonec host Brighton in the UEFA Conference League on Thursday 22 October, kick-off 19:45 EAT. The match is played at Strelnice (Jablonec nad Nisou). Jablonec are 23rd in the table with 0 points from 1 games; Brighton are 1st with 3.
Who will win Jablonec vs Brighton?
The model makes Brighton clear favourites at 67%, with the draw at 20% and Jablonec at 13%. Megapari's 1.45 on Brighton sits right on our fair price of 1.49.
Two markets clear our thresholds for this match: Brighton to win (67%) and draw or Brighton (87%).
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | Megapari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jablonec to win | 13% | 7.63 | 7.04 |
| Draw | 20% | 5.09 | 4.91 |
| Brighton to win Tip | 67% | 1.49 | 1.45 |
| Jablonec or draw | 33% | 3.05 | 2.85 |
| Draw or Brighton Tip | 87% | 1.15 | 1.10 |
| Jablonec or Brighton | 80% | 1.24 | 1.19 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% | 1.29 | 1.10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% | 1.69 | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 41% | 2.44 | 2.42 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 67% | 1.49 | 1.66 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 54% | 1.85 | 1.65 |
| Both teams to score: no | 46% | 2.17 | 2.11 |
Odds: Megapari, as of 16 October 2026, 12:04 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Jablonec vs Brighton
Goals are expected: 0.8 for Jablonec and 2.2 for Brighton, 3.0 in all, which puts over 2.5 goals at 59%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 54%.
Jablonec vs Brighton correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 0-2 at 12%, ahead of 0-1 (11%) and 1-2 (10%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 8 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 0-2 | 11.9% | 8.39 |
| 0-1 | 10.7% | 9.35 |
| 1-2 | 9.7% | 10.30 |
| 1-1 | 9.4% | 10.68 |
| 0-3 | 8.6% | 11.67 |
Form: Jablonec and Brighton in their last five
Jablonec have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +1. Brighton are unbeaten in 5 (4 wins, 1 draw), with 15 goals scored and 1 conceded. The results cover every competition in our data.
Jablonec: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct 2026 | Freiburg (away)UEFA Conference League | 2-3 | L |
| 10 Oct 2026 | Zbrojovka (away)Czech First League | 1-0 | W |
| 20 Sep 2026 | Zlin (home)Czech First League | 1-1 | D |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Sparta Prague (away)Czech First League | 0-2 | L |
| 9 Sep 2026 | Baník Ostrava (home)Czech First League | 3-0 | W |
Brighton: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct 2026 | Zalgiris Kaunas (home)UEFA Conference League | 4-0 | W |
| 10 Oct 2026 | Sunderland (away)Premier League | 2-0 | W |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Arsenal (home)Premier League | 3-0 | W |
| 13 Sep 2026 | Coventry City (away)Premier League | 5-0 | W |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Leeds (home)Premier League | 1-1 | D |
Jablonec vs Brighton head to head
Jablonec and Brighton have not met in the matches our data covers, which go back three seasons.
All the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.
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