Jagiellonia Białystok vs Anderlecht prediction: UEFA Europa League, Thursday 22 October

Jagiellonia Białystok host Anderlecht in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday 22 October, kick-off 22:00 EAT. The match is played at Miejski (Białystok). Jagiellonia Białystok are 17th in the table with 3 points from 2 games; Anderlecht are 29th with 0.

Who will win Jagiellonia Białystok vs Anderlecht?

There is little to separate the sides: Jagiellonia Białystok 37%, the draw 27%, Anderlecht 37%. Megapari pays 2.87 on Jagiellonia Białystok, more than our fair price of 2.72.

No market clears our thresholds for this match, so it carries no tip in the daily lists; the table below is the model's full view of it.

Odds: Megapari, as of 16 October 2026, 05:08 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Jagiellonia Białystok vs Anderlecht

Expected goals are 1.5 for Jagiellonia Białystok and 1.4 for Anderlecht, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 53%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 56%.

Jagiellonia Białystok vs Anderlecht correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 1-1 at 12%, ahead of 2-1 (9%) and 1-0 (8%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 8 matches like this one.

Form: Jagiellonia Białystok and Anderlecht in their last five

Jagiellonia Białystok have won 1 and lost 4 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -5. Anderlecht have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +3. The results cover every competition in our data.

Jagiellonia Białystok: last five matches

Anderlecht: last five matches

Jagiellonia Białystok vs Anderlecht head to head

Jagiellonia Białystok and Anderlecht have not met in the matches our data covers, which go back three seasons.

The rest of the UEFA Europa League is on our Europa League page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.