Tanzanian Premier League
JKT Tanzania vs Kagera Sugar prediction: Tanzanian Premier League, Saturday 24 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
JKT Tanzania
Kagera Sugar
- JKT Tanzania
- 58%
- Draw
- 25%
- Kagera Sugar
- 18%
- JKT Tanzania to win58% · fair 1.73
- JKT Tanzania or draw82% · fair 1.21
xG 1.7–0.8 · likeliest 1-0 (13%)
JKT Tanzania host Kagera Sugar in the Tanzanian Premier League on Saturday 24 October, kick-off 18:00 EAT. JKT Tanzania are 9th in the table with 10 points from 7 games; Kagera Sugar are 15th with 5.
Who will win JKT Tanzania vs Kagera Sugar?
JKT Tanzania are favourites, though not by much: 58% to win, 25% for the draw and 18% for Kagera Sugar.
Two markets clear our thresholds for this match: JKT Tanzania to win (58%) and JKT Tanzania or draw (82%).
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| JKT Tanzania to win Tip | 58% | 1.73 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.03 |
| Kagera Sugar to win | 18% | 5.70 |
| JKT Tanzania or draw Tip | 82% | 1.21 |
| Draw or Kagera Sugar | 42% | 2.36 |
| JKT Tanzania or Kagera Sugar | 75% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% | 1.37 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.04 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.96 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 73% | 1.36 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 50% | 1.99 |
| Both teams to score: no | 50% | 2.01 |
Goals in JKT Tanzania vs Kagera Sugar
Expected goals are 1.7 for JKT Tanzania and 0.8 for Kagera Sugar, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 49%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 50%.
JKT Tanzania vs Kagera Sugar correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-0 at 13%, ahead of 1-1 (12%) and 2-0 (12%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 8 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | 13.2% | 7.56 |
| 1-1 | 11.7% | 8.55 |
| 2-0 | 11.6% | 8.63 |
| 2-1 | 9.5% | 10.49 |
| 0-0 | 8.5% | 11.72 |
Form: JKT Tanzania and Kagera Sugar in their last five
JKT Tanzania have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +0. Kagera Sugar have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -5. The results cover every competition in our data.
JKT Tanzania: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Oct 2026 | Fountain Gate (away)Tanzanian Premier League | 2-1 | W |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Coastal Union (away)Tanzanian Premier League | 1-2 | L |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Pamba Jiji (home)Tanzanian Premier League | 3-0 | W |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Namungo (home)Tanzanian Premier League | 2-1 | W |
| 24 Aug 2026 | Young Africans (away)Tanzanian Premier League | 0-4 | L |
Kagera Sugar: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Oct 2026 | Mbeya City (away)Tanzanian Premier League | 3-1 | W |
| 13 Sep 2026 | Fountain Gate (home)Tanzanian Premier League | 1-1 | D |
| 31 Aug 2026 | Azam (home)Tanzanian Premier League | 0-2 | L |
| 27 Aug 2026 | Mashujaa (away)Tanzanian Premier League | 1-2 | L |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Geita Gold (away)Tanzanian Premier League | 2-6 | L |
JKT Tanzania vs Kagera Sugar head to head
In their last three meetings in our data, JKT Tanzania won 1, Kagera Sugar won none and 2 were drawn. The most recent, on 21 February 2025, finished JKT Tanzania 2–0 Kagera Sugar.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb 2025 | JKT Tanzania – Kagera SugarTanzanian Premier League | 2-0 |
| 16 Sep 2024 | Kagera Sugar – JKT TanzaniaTanzanian Premier League | 0-0 |
| 2 Mar 2024 | Kagera Sugar – JKT TanzaniaTanzanian Premier League | 1-1 |
The rest of the Tanzanian Premier League is on our NBC Premier League page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.
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