Tanzanian Premier League
JKT Tanzania vs Mbeya City prediction: Tanzanian Premier League, Sunday 18 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
JKT Tanzania
Mbeya City
- JKT Tanzania
- 52%
- Draw
- 29%
- Mbeya City
- 19%
- JKT Tanzania or draw81% · fair 1.23
- Under 3.5 goals80% · fair 1.25
xG 1.4–0.7 · likeliest 1-0 (17%)
JKT Tanzania host Mbeya City in the Tanzanian Premier League on Sunday 18 October, kick-off 19:00 EAT. JKT Tanzania are 9th in the table with 10 points from 7 games; Mbeya City are 8th with 10.
Who will win JKT Tanzania vs Mbeya City?
JKT Tanzania are favourites, though not by much: 52% to win, 29% for the draw and 19% for Mbeya City.
Two markets clear our thresholds for this match: JKT Tanzania or draw (81%) and under 3.5 goals (80%).
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| JKT Tanzania to win | 52% | 1.92 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.42 |
| Mbeya City to win | 19% | 5.37 |
| JKT Tanzania or draw Tip | 81% | 1.23 |
| Draw or Mbeya City | 48% | 2.09 |
| JKT Tanzania or Mbeya City | 71% | 1.41 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 67% | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41% | 2.44 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 59% | 1.70 |
| Under 3.5 goals Tip | 80% | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 46% | 2.17 |
| Both teams to score: no | 54% | 1.86 |
Goals in JKT Tanzania vs Mbeya City
The numbers point to a tight game: expected goals of 1.4 and 0.7, and under 2.5 goals at 59%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 46%.
JKT Tanzania vs Mbeya City correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-0 at 17%, ahead of 0-0 (14%) and 1-1 (13%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 6 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | 17.1% | 5.86 |
| 0-0 | 13.5% | 7.41 |
| 1-1 | 12.6% | 7.94 |
| 2-0 | 11.8% | 8.44 |
| 0-1 | 8.5% | 11.78 |
Form: JKT Tanzania and Mbeya City in their last five
JKT Tanzania have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +0. Mbeya City have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -1. The results cover every competition in our data.
JKT Tanzania: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Oct 2026 | Fountain Gate (away)Tanzanian Premier League | 2-1 | W |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Coastal Union (away)Tanzanian Premier League | 1-2 | L |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Pamba Jiji (home)Tanzanian Premier League | 3-0 | W |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Namungo (home)Tanzanian Premier League | 2-1 | W |
| 24 Aug 2026 | Young Africans (away)Tanzanian Premier League | 0-4 | L |
Mbeya City: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Oct 2026 | Kagera Sugar (home)Tanzanian Premier League | 1-3 | L |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Polisi Tanzania (away)Tanzanian Premier League | 0-2 | L |
| 4 Sep 2026 | TRA United (away)Tanzanian Premier League | 0-0 | D |
| 28 Aug 2026 | Fountain Gate (away)Tanzanian Premier League | 2-0 | W |
| 23 Aug 2026 | Mashujaa (home)Tanzanian Premier League | 2-1 | W |
JKT Tanzania vs Mbeya City head to head
In their last two meetings in our data, JKT Tanzania won 1, Mbeya City won none and 1 was drawn. The most recent, on 9 May 2026, finished JKT Tanzania 1–0 Mbeya City.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 9 May 2026 | JKT Tanzania – Mbeya CityTanzanian Premier League | 1-0 |
| 24 Oct 2025 | Mbeya City – JKT TanzaniaTanzanian Premier League | 2-2 |
The rest of the Tanzanian Premier League is on our NBC Premier League page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.
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