Juventus vs Lazio prediction: Serie A, Sunday 18 October

Juventus host Lazio in Serie A on Sunday 18 October, kick-off 21:45 EAT. The match is played at Allianz (Torino). Juventus are 7th in the table with 10 points from 5 games; Lazio are 2nd with 16.

Who will win Juventus vs Lazio?

Juventus are favourites, though not by much: 53% to win, 26% for the draw and 21% for Lazio. Megapari's 1.69 on Juventus is shorter than our fair price of 1.88: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.

One market clears our thresholds for this match: under 3.5 goals (76%).

Odds: Megapari, as of 11 October 2026, 23:47 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Juventus vs Lazio

Expected goals are 1.4 for Juventus and 0.9 for Lazio, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 47%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 49%.

Juventus vs Lazio correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 1-0 at 13%, ahead of 1-1 (13%) and 0-0 (10%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 7 matches like this one.

Form: Juventus and Lazio in their last five

Juventus have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +6. Lazio are unbeaten in 5 (4 wins, 1 draw), with 10 goals scored and 4 conceded. The results cover every competition in our data.

Juventus: last five matches

Lazio: last five matches

Juventus vs Lazio head to head

In their last five meetings in our data, Juventus won 1, Lazio won 2 and 2 were drawn. The most recent, on 8 February 2026, finished Juventus 2–2 Lazio.

How the odds have moved

Megapari's price on Juventus has drifted from 1.68 to 1.69 since the line opened: the market rates them lower than it did at the open. Over 2.5 goals has moved from 1.97 to 2.03, so the market now expects fewer goals than at the open.

Prices from Megapari: the first one we recorded and the latest before kick-off.

The rest of Serie A is on our Serie A page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.