UEFA Europa League
Juventus vs Rennes prediction: UEFA Europa League, Thursday 22 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Juventus host Rennes in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday 22 October, kick-off 19:45 EAT. The match is played at Allianz (Torino). Juventus are 1st in the table with 6 points from 2 games; Rennes are 13th with 4.
Who will win Juventus vs Rennes?
The model makes Juventus clear favourites at 60%, with the draw at 22% and Rennes at 18%. Megapari's 1.63 on Juventus sits right on our fair price of 1.65.
Three markets clear our thresholds for this match: Juventus to win (60%), Juventus or draw (83%) and over 1.5 goals (80%).
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | Megapari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Juventus to win Tip | 60% | 1.65 | 1.63 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.54 | 4.16 |
| Rennes to win | 18% | 5.71 | 5.62 |
| Juventus or draw Tip | 83% | 1.21 | 1.17 |
| Draw or Rennes | 40% | 2.53 | 2.36 |
| Juventus or Rennes | 78% | 1.28 | 1.26 |
| Over 1.5 goals Tip | 80% | 1.24 | 1.24 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 1.80 | 1.87 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 44% | 2.25 | 2.01 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 63% | 1.59 | 1.33 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 53% | 1.87 | 1.83 |
| Both teams to score: no | 47% | 2.15 | 1.89 |
Odds: Megapari, as of 16 October 2026, 05:08 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Juventus vs Rennes
Expected goals are 2.2 for Juventus and 1.1 for Rennes, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 56%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 53%.
Juventus vs Rennes correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 2-1 at 10%, ahead of 1-1 (9%) and 2-0 (9%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 10 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 2-1 | 9.9% | 10.14 |
| 1-1 | 9.5% | 10.57 |
| 2-0 | 9.1% | 11.03 |
| 1-0 | 8.0% | 12.48 |
| 3-1 | 7.1% | 14.04 |
Form: Juventus and Rennes in their last five
Juventus have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +7. Rennes have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +1. The results cover every competition in our data.
Juventus: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct 2026 | Celta Vigo (away)UEFA Europa League | 2-1 | W |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Cagliari (away)Serie A | 1-1 | D |
| 20 Sep 2026 | Atalanta (home)Serie A | 2-0 | W |
| 17 Sep 2026 | NEC (home)UEFA Europa League | 5-0 | W |
| 13 Sep 2026 | US Sassuolo (away)Serie A | 2-3 | L |
Rennes: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct 2026 | OFI Crete (home)UEFA Europa League | 2-1 | W |
| 11 Oct 2026 | AJ Auxerre (home)Ligue 1 | 4-1 | W |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Lyon (away)Ligue 1 | 0-4 | L |
| 16 Sep 2026 | Sturm Graz (away)UEFA Europa League | 0-0 | D |
| 11 Sep 2026 | Marseille (home)Ligue 1 | 1-0 | W |
Juventus vs Rennes head to head
Juventus and Rennes have not met in the matches our data covers, which go back three seasons.
The rest of the UEFA Europa League is on our Europa League page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.
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