South African Premiership
Kaizer Chiefs vs Stellenbosch prediction: South African Premiership, Tuesday 13 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Kaizer Chiefs
Stellenbosch
- Kaizer Chiefs
- 49%Megapari 1.79
- Draw
- 30%Megapari 3.20
- Stellenbosch
- 20%Megapari 4.89
- Under 3.5 goals82% · fair 1.23Bet 1.17
xG 1.2–0.7 · likeliest 1-0 (17%)
Kaizer Chiefs host Stellenbosch in the South African Premiership on Tuesday 13 October, kick-off 20:30 EAT. The match is played at FNB (Johannesburg). Kaizer Chiefs are 4th in the table with 13 points from 7 games; Stellenbosch are 7th with 9.
Who will win Kaizer Chiefs vs Stellenbosch?
Kaizer Chiefs are favourites, though not by much: 49% to win, 30% for the draw and 20% for Stellenbosch. Megapari's 1.79 on Kaizer Chiefs is shorter than our fair price of 2.02: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.
One market clears our thresholds for this match: under 3.5 goals (82%).
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | Megapari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kaizer Chiefs to win | 49% | 2.02 | 1.79 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.32 | 3.20 |
| Stellenbosch to win | 20% | 4.89 | 4.89 |
| Kaizer Chiefs or draw | 80% | 1.26 | 1.14 |
| Draw or Stellenbosch | 51% | 1.98 | 1.94 |
| Kaizer Chiefs or Stellenbosch | 70% | 1.43 | 1.30 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 65% | 1.53 | 1.48 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 39% | 2.57 | 2.40 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 61% | 1.64 | 1.50 |
| Under 3.5 goals Tip | 82% | 1.23 | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 44% | 2.29 | 2.25 |
| Both teams to score: no | 56% | 1.77 | 1.58 |
Odds: Megapari, as of 12 October 2026, 12:04 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Kaizer Chiefs vs Stellenbosch
The numbers point to a tight game: expected goals of 1.2 and 0.7, and under 2.5 goals at 61%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 44%.
Kaizer Chiefs vs Stellenbosch correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-0 at 17%, ahead of 0-0 (15%) and 1-1 (13%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 6 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | 16.8% | 5.94 |
| 0-0 | 14.8% | 6.74 |
| 1-1 | 13.2% | 7.57 |
| 2-0 | 10.5% | 9.52 |
| 0-1 | 10.0% | 10.02 |
Form: Kaizer Chiefs and Stellenbosch in their last five
Kaizer Chiefs are unbeaten in 5 (1 win, 4 draws), with 7 goals scored and 6 conceded. Stellenbosch have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +2. The results cover every competition in our data.
Kaizer Chiefs: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep 2026 | Lamontville Golden Arrows (away)South African Premiership | 0-0 | D |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Polokwane City (away)South African Premiership | 1-1 | D |
| 6 Sep 2026 | Siwelele (home)South African Premiership | 3-2 | W |
| 26 Aug 2026 | Richards Bay (away)South African Premiership | 2-2 | D |
| 15 Aug 2026 | Mamelodi Sundowns (home)South African Premiership | 1-1 | D |
Stellenbosch: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2026 | Kruger United (away)South African Premiership | 1-0 | W |
| 11 Sep 2026 | Sekhukhune United (home)South African Premiership | 1-1 | D |
| 1 Sep 2026 | Durban City (away)South African Premiership | 0-0 | D |
| 26 Aug 2026 | Lamontville Golden Arrows (away)South African Premiership | 0-1 | L |
| 14 Aug 2026 | Marumo Gallants (home)South African Premiership | 3-1 | W |
Kaizer Chiefs vs Stellenbosch head to head
In their last four meetings in our data, Kaizer Chiefs won 3, Stellenbosch won 1 and none was drawn. The most recent, on 24 February 2026, finished Kaizer Chiefs 1–2 Stellenbosch.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb 2026 | Kaizer Chiefs – StellenboschSouth African Premiership | 1-2 |
| 10 Aug 2025 | Stellenbosch – Kaizer ChiefsSouth African Premiership | 0-2 |
| 7 Feb 2025 | Stellenbosch – Kaizer ChiefsSouth African Premiership | 0-1 |
| 8 Jan 2025 | Kaizer Chiefs – StellenboschSouth African Premiership | 2-1 |
Every match tomorrow is priced on Tomorrow and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.
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