Kakamega Homeboyz vs Ulinzi Stars prediction: Kenyan Premier League, Sunday 18 October

Kakamega Homeboyz host Ulinzi Stars in the Kenyan Premier League on Sunday 18 October, kick-off 15:00 EAT. The match is played at Bukhungu (Kakamega). Kakamega Homeboyz are 4th in the table with 3 points from 1 games; Ulinzi Stars are 18th with 0.

Who will win Kakamega Homeboyz vs Ulinzi Stars?

Kakamega Homeboyz are favourites, though not by much: 49% to win, 29% for the draw and 21% for Ulinzi Stars. Megapari's 1.74 on Kakamega Homeboyz is shorter than our fair price of 2.03: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.

One market clears our thresholds for this match: under 3.5 goals (79%).

Odds: Megapari, as of 17 October 2026, 23:46 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Kakamega Homeboyz vs Ulinzi Stars

The numbers point to a tight game: expected goals of 1.3 and 0.8, and under 2.5 goals at 59%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 45%.

Kakamega Homeboyz vs Ulinzi Stars correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 1-0 at 15%, ahead of 1-1 (13%) and 0-0 (13%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 7 matches like this one.

Form: Kakamega Homeboyz and Ulinzi Stars in their last five

Kakamega Homeboyz have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +0. Ulinzi Stars have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -1. The results cover every competition in our data.

Kakamega Homeboyz: last five matches

Ulinzi Stars: last five matches

Kakamega Homeboyz vs Ulinzi Stars head to head

In their last six meetings in our data, Kakamega Homeboyz won 2, Ulinzi Stars won none and 4 were drawn. The most recent, on 4 September 2026, finished Kakamega Homeboyz 0–0 Ulinzi Stars.

The rest of the Kenyan Premier League is on our FKF Premier League page, every match tomorrow is priced on Tomorrow and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.