Ghana Premier League
Karela United vs Dreams prediction: Ghana Premier League, Sunday 11 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Karela United
Dreams
- Karela United
- 52%Megapari 1.70
- Draw
- 28%Megapari 3.20
- Dreams
- 20%Megapari 4.79
- Under 3.5 goals76% · fair 1.31Bet 1.13
xG 1.4–0.9 · likeliest 1-0 (14%)
Karela United host Dreams in the Ghana Premier League on Sunday 11 October, kick-off 18:00 EAT. The match is played at Tamale (Tamale). Karela United are 11th in the table with 6 points from 5 games; Dreams are 18th with 2.
Who will win Karela United vs Dreams?
Karela United are favourites, though not by much: 52% to win, 28% for the draw and 20% for Dreams. Megapari's 1.70 on Karela United is shorter than our fair price of 1.94: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.
One market clears our thresholds for this match: under 3.5 goals (76%).
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | Megapari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Karela United to win | 52% | 1.94 | 1.70 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.57 | 3.20 |
| Dreams to win | 20% | 4.89 | 4.79 |
| Karela United or draw | 80% | 1.26 | 1.10 |
| Draw or Dreams | 48% | 2.06 | 1.91 |
| Karela United or Dreams | 72% | 1.39 | 1.24 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70% | 1.42 | 1.44 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.39 | 2.41 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 58% | 1.72 | 1.48 |
| Under 3.5 goals Tip | 76% | 1.31 | 1.13 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 45% | 2.20 | 2.22 |
| Both teams to score: no | 55% | 1.83 | 1.56 |
Odds: Megapari, as of 10 October 2026, 12:05 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Karela United vs Dreams
The numbers point to a tight game: expected goals of 1.4 and 0.9, and under 2.5 goals at 58%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 45%.
Karela United vs Dreams correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-0 at 14%, ahead of 1-1 (13%) and 0-0 (10%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 7 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | 13.9% | 7.22 |
| 1-1 | 12.9% | 7.74 |
| 0-0 | 10.5% | 9.56 |
| 2-0 | 10.3% | 9.66 |
| 2-1 | 8.9% | 11.17 |
Form: Karela United and Dreams in their last five
Karela United have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -1. Dreams have not won in 5 (2 draws, 3 defeats) and scored 5 in that run. The results cover every competition in our data.
Karela United: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Oct 2026 | Asante Kotoko (away)Ghana Premier League | 0-1 | L |
| 26 Sep 2026 | Accra Hearts of Oak (home)Ghana Premier League | 1-0 | W |
| 20 Sep 2026 | Aduana (away)Ghana Premier League | 1-2 | L |
| 13 Sep 2026 | Bechem United (home)Ghana Premier League | 3-1 | W |
| 6 Sep 2026 | Samartex (away)Ghana Premier League | 1-3 | L |
Dreams: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Oct 2026 | Accra Hearts of Oak (home)Ghana Premier League | 0-0 | D |
| 27 Sep 2026 | Bechem United (away)Ghana Premier League | 0-1 | L |
| 23 Sep 2026 | Medeama (home)Ghana Premier League | 2-2 | D |
| 20 Sep 2026 | Bibiani Gold Stars (home)Ghana Premier League | 2-3 | L |
| 13 Sep 2026 | Berekum Chelsea (away)Ghana Premier League | 1-3 | L |
Karela United vs Dreams head to head
In their last six meetings in our data, Karela United won 2, Dreams won 2 and 2 were drawn. The most recent, on 15 February 2026, finished Dreams 0–1 Karela United.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb 2026 | Dreams – Karela UnitedGhana Premier League | 0-1 |
| 9 Nov 2025 | Karela United – DreamsGhana Premier League | 1-1 |
| 27 Apr 2025 | Karela United – DreamsGhana Premier League | 1-2 |
| 24 Nov 2024 | Dreams – Karela UnitedGhana Premier League | 0-1 |
| 2 Jun 2024 | Dreams – Karela UnitedGhana Premier League | 1-0 |
| 17 Jan 2024 | Karela United – DreamsGhana Premier League | 0-0 |
The rest of the Ghana Premier League is on our Ghana Premier League page, every match tomorrow is priced on Tomorrow and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.
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