Kasimpasa vs Samsunspor prediction: Süper Lig, Sunday 18 October

Kasimpasa host Samsunspor in the Süper Lig on Sunday 18 October, kick-off 13:30 EAT. The match is played at Recep Tayyip Erdogan (Istanbul). Kasimpasa are 8th in the table with 10 points from 7 games; Samsunspor are 16th with 4.

Who will win Kasimpasa vs Samsunspor?

There is little to separate the sides: Kasimpasa 39%, the draw 28%, Samsunspor 33%. Megapari pays 2.65 on Kasimpasa, more than our fair price of 2.56.

No market clears our thresholds for this match, so it carries no tip in the daily lists; the table below is the model's full view of it.

Odds: Megapari, as of 11 October 2026, 17:08 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Kasimpasa vs Samsunspor

Expected goals are 1.4 for Kasimpasa and 1.2 for Samsunspor, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 49%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 54%.

Kasimpasa vs Samsunspor correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 1-1 at 13%, ahead of 1-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 8 matches like this one.

Form: Kasimpasa and Samsunspor in their last five

Kasimpasa have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -1. Samsunspor have not won in 5 (0 draws, 5 defeats) and scored 1 in that run. The results cover every competition in our data.

Kasimpasa: last five matches

Samsunspor: last five matches

Kasimpasa vs Samsunspor head to head

In their last four meetings in our data, Kasimpasa won 1, Samsunspor won 2 and 1 was drawn. The most recent, on 30 January 2026, finished Kasimpasa 0–1 Samsunspor.

All the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.