Kenya Police vs Posta Rangers prediction: Kenyan Premier League, Friday 16 October

Kenya Police host Posta Rangers in the Kenyan Premier League on Friday 16 October, kick-off 15:00 EAT. Kenya Police are 8th in the table with 1 points from 1 games; Posta Rangers are 16th with 0.

Who will win Kenya Police vs Posta Rangers?

Kenya Police are favourites, though not by much: 53% to win, 30% for the draw and 17% for Posta Rangers. Megapari's 1.70 on Kenya Police is shorter than our fair price of 1.90: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.

Three markets clear our thresholds for this match: Kenya Police or draw (83%), under 2.5 goals (63%) and under 3.5 goals (85%).

Odds: Megapari, as of 14 October 2026, 17:04 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Kenya Police vs Posta Rangers

The numbers point to a tight game: expected goals of 1.2 and 0.5, and under 2.5 goals at 63%. Posta Rangers may struggle to score at all: both teams to score is only 41%.

Kenya Police vs Posta Rangers correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 1-0 at 21%, ahead of 0-0 (18%) and 2-0 (13%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 5 matches like this one.

Form: Kenya Police and Posta Rangers in their last five

Kenya Police are unbeaten in 5 (0 wins, 5 draws), with 3 goals scored and 3 conceded. Posta Rangers have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -1. The results cover every competition in our data.

Kenya Police: last five matches

Posta Rangers: last five matches

Kenya Police vs Posta Rangers head to head

In their last five meetings in our data, Kenya Police won 2, Posta Rangers won 1 and 2 were drawn. The most recent, on 13 March 2026, finished Posta Rangers 2–0 Kenya Police.

The rest of the Kenyan Premier League is on our FKF Premier League page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.