Süper Lig
Kocaelispor vs Goztepe prediction: Süper Lig, Sunday 18 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Kocaelispor
Goztepe
- Kocaelispor
- 37%Megapari 2.67
- Draw
- 31%Megapari 3.24
- Goztepe
- 31%Megapari 2.88
- Draw31% · fair 3.19Bet 3.24
- Under 3.5 goals82% · fair 1.22
xG 1.1–0.9 · likeliest 0-0 (15%)
Kocaelispor host Goztepe in the Süper Lig on Sunday 18 October, kick-off 16:00 EAT. Kocaelispor are 6th in the table with 12 points from 6 games; Goztepe are 17th with 3.
Who will win Kocaelispor vs Goztepe?
There is little to separate the sides: Kocaelispor 37%, the draw 31%, Goztepe 31%. At 31% the draw is a real option, more likely than in most matches. Megapari's 2.67 on Kocaelispor sits right on our fair price of 2.67.
Two markets clear our thresholds for this match: draw (31%) and under 3.5 goals (82%).
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | Megapari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kocaelispor to win | 37% | 2.67 | 2.67 |
| Draw Tip | 31% | 3.19 | 3.24 |
| Goztepe to win | 31% | 3.20 | 2.88 |
| Kocaelispor or draw | 69% | 1.45 | – |
| Draw or Goztepe | 63% | 1.60 | – |
| Kocaelispor or Goztepe | 69% | 1.46 | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 65% | 1.54 | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 39% | 2.57 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 61% | 1.64 | – |
| Under 3.5 goals Tip | 82% | 1.22 | – |
| Both teams to score: yes | 47% | 2.14 | – |
| Both teams to score: no | 53% | 1.87 | – |
Odds: Megapari, as of 11 October 2026, 17:08 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Kocaelispor vs Goztepe
The numbers point to a tight game: expected goals of 1.1 and 0.9, and under 2.5 goals at 61%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 47%.
Kocaelispor vs Goztepe correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 0-0 at 15%, ahead of 1-0 (15%) and 1-1 (14%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 7 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | 15.3% | 6.53 |
| 1-0 | 14.7% | 6.79 |
| 1-1 | 14.1% | 7.11 |
| 0-1 | 12.1% | 8.28 |
| 2-0 | 8.1% | 12.36 |
Form: Kocaelispor and Goztepe in their last five
Kocaelispor have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +5. Goztepe have not won in 5 (2 draws, 3 defeats) and scored 8 in that run. The results cover every competition in our data.
Kocaelispor: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2026 | Gaziantep (home)Süper Lig | 2-0 | W |
| 13 Sep 2026 | Galatasaray (away)Süper Lig | 0-1 | L |
| 6 Sep 2026 | Samsunspor (home)Süper Lig | 1-0 | W |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Konyaspor (away)Süper Lig | 2-1 | W |
| 24 Aug 2026 | Amedspor (home)Süper Lig | 2-0 | W |
Goztepe: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep 2026 | Caykur Rizespor (home)Süper Lig | 2-2 | D |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Alanyaspor (away)Süper Lig | 2-2 | D |
| 7 Sep 2026 | Gaziantep (home)Süper Lig | 2-4 | L |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Galatasaray (away)Süper Lig | 2-3 | L |
| 23 Aug 2026 | Genclerbirligi (home)Süper Lig | 0-1 | L |
Kocaelispor vs Goztepe head to head
In their last two meetings in our data, Kocaelispor won none, Goztepe won none and 2 were drawn. The most recent, on 18 April 2026, finished Kocaelispor 1–1 Goztepe.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr 2026 | Kocaelispor – GoztepeSüper Lig | 1-1 |
| 23 Nov 2025 | Goztepe – KocaelisporSüper Lig | 0-0 |
All the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.
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