Belgian Pro League
KV Kortrijk vs Mechelen prediction: Belgian Pro League, Friday 23 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
KV Kortrijk
Mechelen
- KV Kortrijk
- 34%Megapari 2.46
- Draw
- 27%Megapari 3.52
- Mechelen
- 39%Megapari 2.75
No tip: no market clears our thresholds for this match.
xG 1.2–1.5 · likeliest 1-1 (13%)
KV Kortrijk host Mechelen in the Belgian Pro League on Friday 23 October, kick-off 21:45 EAT. The match is played at Guldensporen (Kortrijk). KV Kortrijk are 17th in the table with 3 points from 8 games; Mechelen are 14th with 6.
Who will win KV Kortrijk vs Mechelen?
There is little to separate the sides: KV Kortrijk 34%, the draw 27%, Mechelen 39%. Megapari pays 2.75 on Mechelen, more than our fair price of 2.57.
No market clears our thresholds for this match, so it carries no tip in the daily lists; the table below is the model's full view of it.
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | Megapari |
|---|---|---|---|
| KV Kortrijk to win | 34% | 2.91 | 2.46 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.73 | 3.52 |
| Mechelen to win | 39% | 2.57 | 2.75 |
| KV Kortrijk or draw | 61% | 1.64 | 1.45 |
| Draw or Mechelen | 66% | 1.52 | 1.54 |
| KV Kortrijk or Mechelen | 73% | 1.37 | 1.30 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% | 1.34 | 1.19 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.90 | 1.75 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.11 | 2.07 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 71% | 1.40 | 1.36 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | 1.78 | 1.58 |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | 2.29 | 2.23 |
Odds: Megapari, as of 16 October 2026, 23:48 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in KV Kortrijk vs Mechelen
Expected goals are 1.2 for KV Kortrijk and 1.5 for Mechelen, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 53%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 56%.
KV Kortrijk vs Mechelen correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-1 at 13%, ahead of 0-1 (10%) and 1-2 (9%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 8 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 12.7% | 7.87 |
| 0-1 | 9.8% | 10.26 |
| 1-2 | 9.0% | 11.11 |
| 1-0 | 7.8% | 12.82 |
| 0-2 | 7.5% | 13.25 |
Form: KV Kortrijk and Mechelen in their last five
KV Kortrijk have won 1 and lost 4 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -8. Mechelen have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -4. The results cover every competition in our data.
KV Kortrijk: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct 2026 | Genk (away)Belgian Pro League | 0-3 | L |
| 20 Sep 2026 | S.K. Beveren (home)Belgian Pro League | 1-0 | W |
| 13 Sep 2026 | RAAL La Louviere (away)Belgian Pro League | 0-3 | L |
| 6 Sep 2026 | Zulte Waregem (home)Belgian Pro League | 0-2 | L |
| 3 Sep 2026 | Anderlecht (away)Belgian Pro League | 0-1 | L |
Mechelen: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct 2026 | Sint-Truidense (home)Belgian Pro League | 4-3 | W |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Lommel SK (away)Belgian Pro League | 0-0 | D |
| 11 Sep 2026 | Anderlecht (home)Belgian Pro League | 0-1 | L |
| 5 Sep 2026 | K.V.C. Westerlo (home)Belgian Pro League | 0-4 | L |
| 29 Aug 2026 | RAAL La Louviere (away)Belgian Pro League | 2-2 | D |
KV Kortrijk vs Mechelen head to head
In their last two meetings in our data, KV Kortrijk won 1, Mechelen won 1 and none was drawn. The most recent, on 29 November 2024, finished KV Kortrijk 3–1 Mechelen.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov 2024 | KV Kortrijk – MechelenBelgian Pro League | 3-1 |
| 20 Oct 2024 | Mechelen – KV KortrijkBelgian Pro League | 3-0 |
All the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.
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