South African Premiership
Lamontville Golden Arrows vs Milford prediction: South African Premiership, Saturday 17 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Lamontville Golden Arrows host Milford in the South African Premiership on Saturday 17 October, kick-off 16:30 EAT. The match is played at Princess Magogo (Durban). Lamontville Golden Arrows are 8th in the table with 8 points from 7 games; Milford are 5th with 12.
Who will win Lamontville Golden Arrows vs Milford?
There is little to separate the sides: Lamontville Golden Arrows 39%, the draw 33%, Milford 28%. At 33% the draw is a real option, more likely than in most matches. Megapari's 2.00 on Lamontville Golden Arrows is shorter than our fair price of 2.59: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.
Three markets clear our thresholds for this match: draw (33%), under 2.5 goals (63%) and under 3.5 goals (88%).
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | Megapari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lamontville Golden Arrows to win | 39% | 2.59 | 2.00 |
| Draw Tip | 33% | 3.02 | 3.12 |
| Milford to win | 28% | 3.55 | 3.49 |
| Lamontville Golden Arrows or draw | 72% | 1.39 | 1.22 |
| Draw or Milford | 61% | 1.63 | 1.64 |
| Lamontville Golden Arrows or Milford | 67% | 1.50 | 1.26 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 58% | 1.72 | 1.32 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 37% | 2.67 | 2.10 |
| Under 2.5 goals Tip | 63% | 1.60 | 1.63 |
| Under 3.5 goals Tip | 88% | 1.14 | 1.19 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 46% | 2.19 | 1.86 |
| Both teams to score: no | 54% | 1.84 | 1.83 |
Odds: Megapari, as of 16 October 2026, 12:04 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Lamontville Golden Arrows vs Milford
The numbers point to a tight game: expected goals of 0.8 and 0.8, and under 2.5 goals at 63%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 46%.
Lamontville Golden Arrows vs Milford correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 0-0 at 22%, ahead of 1-0 (16%) and 0-1 (16%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 4 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | 22.3% | 4.49 |
| 1-0 | 16.4% | 6.09 |
| 0-1 | 15.8% | 6.35 |
| 1-1 | 13.2% | 7.60 |
| 2-0 | 6.6% | 15.20 |
Form: Lamontville Golden Arrows and Milford in their last five
Lamontville Golden Arrows have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +0. Milford have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +2. The results cover every competition in our data.
Lamontville Golden Arrows: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep 2026 | Kaizer Chiefs (home)South African Premiership | 0-0 | D |
| 13 Sep 2026 | Siwelele (away)South African Premiership | 1-1 | D |
| 6 Sep 2026 | Mamelodi Sundowns (home)South African Premiership | 1-2 | L |
| 26 Aug 2026 | Stellenbosch (home)South African Premiership | 1-0 | W |
| 16 Aug 2026 | TS Galaxy (away)South African Premiership | 0-0 | D |
Milford: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep 2026 | Durban City (home)South African Premiership | 1-1 | D |
| 13 Sep 2026 | Richards Bay (home)South African Premiership | 5-1 | W |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Chippa United (away)South African Premiership | 0-0 | D |
| 2 Sep 2026 | Mamelodi Sundowns (away)South African Premiership | 0-2 | L |
| 26 Aug 2026 | Polokwane City (away)South African Premiership | 0-0 | D |
Lamontville Golden Arrows vs Milford head to head
Lamontville Golden Arrows and Milford have not met in the matches our data covers, which go back three seasons.
Every match tomorrow is priced on Tomorrow and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.
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