Kenyan Premier League
Leopards vs Bandari prediction: Kenyan Premier League, Wednesday 14 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Leopards host Bandari in the Kenyan Premier League on Wednesday 14 October, kick-off 15:00 EAT. The match is played at Estadio Nacional Nyayo (Nairobi).
Who will win Leopards vs Bandari?
There is little to separate the sides: Leopards 45%, the draw 34%, Bandari 22%. At 34% the draw is a real option, more likely than in most matches. Megapari's 2.02 on Leopards is shorter than our fair price of 2.24: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.
Two markets clear our thresholds for this match: under 2.5 goals (68%) and under 3.5 goals (87%).
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | Megapari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leopards to win | 45% | 2.24 | 2.02 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.98 | 2.90 |
| Bandari to win | 22% | 4.61 | 3.96 |
| Leopards or draw | 78% | 1.28 | 1.21 |
| Draw or Bandari | 55% | 1.81 | 1.72 |
| Leopards or Bandari | 66% | 1.51 | 1.36 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 59% | 1.70 | 1.64 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 32% | 3.14 | 2.90 |
| Under 2.5 goals Tip | 68% | 1.47 | 1.35 |
| Under 3.5 goals Tip | 87% | 1.15 | 1.07 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 39% | 2.59 | 2.60 |
| Both teams to score: no | 61% | 1.63 | 1.47 |
Odds: Megapari, as of 10 October 2026, 17:08 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Leopards vs Bandari
The numbers point to a tight game: expected goals of 1.0 and 0.6, and under 2.5 goals at 68%. Bandari may struggle to score at all: both teams to score is only 39%.
Leopards vs Bandari correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 0-0 at 21%, ahead of 1-0 (20%) and 1-1 (12%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 5 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | 21.4% | 4.66 |
| 1-0 | 20.3% | 4.93 |
| 1-1 | 12.4% | 8.09 |
| 0-1 | 11.5% | 8.67 |
| 2-0 | 10.3% | 9.75 |
Form: Leopards and Bandari in their last five
Leopards have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -1. Bandari have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -2. The results cover every competition in our data.
Leopards: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep 2026 | Mara Sugar (away)Kenyan Premier League | 0-0 | D |
| 4 Sep 2026 | Kenya Police (away)Kenyan Premier League | 0-0 | D |
| 31 May 2026 | Bidco United (home)Kenyan Premier League | 1-2 | L |
| 24 May 2026 | APS Bomet (away)Kenyan Premier League | 1-2 | L |
| 16 May 2026 | Kakamega Homeboyz (away)Kenyan Premier League | 2-1 | W |
Bandari: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Oct 2026 | Nairobi United (away)Kenyan Premier League | 0-0 | D |
| 4 Sep 2026 | 3K (home)Kenyan Premier League | 0-0 | D |
| 31 May 2026 | Mathare United (away)Kenyan Premier League | 0-1 | L |
| 24 May 2026 | Tusker (home)Kenyan Premier League | 1-0 | W |
| 20 May 2026 | APS Bomet (home)Kenyan Premier League | 0-2 | L |
Leopards vs Bandari head to head
In their last six meetings in our data, Leopards won 2, Bandari won 1 and 3 were drawn. The most recent, on 14 February 2026, finished Bandari 0–0 Leopards.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb 2026 | Bandari – LeopardsKenyan Premier League | 0-0 |
| 15 Oct 2025 | Leopards – BandariKenyan Premier League | 0-0 |
| 18 May 2025 | Bandari – LeopardsKenyan Premier League | 0-0 |
| 22 Dec 2024 | Leopards – BandariKenyan Premier League | 2-0 |
| 5 May 2024 | Leopards – BandariKenyan Premier League | 1-0 |
| 22 Oct 2023 | Bandari – LeopardsKenyan Premier League | 1-0 |
The rest of the Kenyan Premier League is on our FKF Premier League page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.
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