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Kenyan Premier League

Leopards vs Bandari prediction: Kenyan Premier League, Wednesday 14 October

TipsQuant editorial team · Updated

Leopards

Bandari

Leopards
45%Megapari 2.02
Draw
34%Megapari 2.90
Bandari
22%Megapari 3.96

xG 1.0–0.6 · likeliest 0-0 (21%)

Leopards host Bandari in the Kenyan Premier League on Wednesday 14 October, kick-off 15:00 EAT. The match is played at Estadio Nacional Nyayo (Nairobi).

Who will win Leopards vs Bandari?

There is little to separate the sides: Leopards 45%, the draw 34%, Bandari 22%. At 34% the draw is a real option, more likely than in most matches. Megapari's 2.02 on Leopards is shorter than our fair price of 2.24: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.

Two markets clear our thresholds for this match: under 2.5 goals (68%) and under 3.5 goals (87%).

BetProbabilityFair oddsMegapari
Leopards to win 45% 2.24 2.02
Draw 34% 2.98 2.90
Bandari to win 22% 4.61 3.96
Leopards or draw 78% 1.28 1.21
Draw or Bandari 55% 1.81 1.72
Leopards or Bandari 66% 1.51 1.36
Over 1.5 goals 59% 1.70 1.64
Over 2.5 goals 32% 3.14 2.90
Under 2.5 goals Tip 68% 1.47 1.35
Under 3.5 goals Tip 87% 1.15 1.07
Both teams to score: yes 39% 2.59 2.60
Both teams to score: no 61% 1.63 1.47

Odds: Megapari, as of 10 October 2026, 17:08 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Leopards vs Bandari

The numbers point to a tight game: expected goals of 1.0 and 0.6, and under 2.5 goals at 68%. Bandari may struggle to score at all: both teams to score is only 39%.

Leopards vs Bandari correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 0-0 at 21%, ahead of 1-0 (20%) and 1-1 (12%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 5 matches like this one.

Correct scoreProbabilityFair odds
0-021.4%4.66
1-020.3%4.93
1-112.4%8.09
0-111.5%8.67
2-010.3%9.75

Form: Leopards and Bandari in their last five

Leopards have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -1. Bandari have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -2. The results cover every competition in our data.

Leopards: last five matches

DateOpponentScoreResult
18 Sep 2026Mara Sugar (away)Kenyan Premier League0-0D
4 Sep 2026Kenya Police (away)Kenyan Premier League0-0D
31 May 2026Bidco United (home)Kenyan Premier League1-2L
24 May 2026APS Bomet (away)Kenyan Premier League1-2L
16 May 2026Kakamega Homeboyz (away)Kenyan Premier League2-1W

Bandari: last five matches

DateOpponentScoreResult
2 Oct 2026Nairobi United (away)Kenyan Premier League0-0D
4 Sep 20263K (home)Kenyan Premier League0-0D
31 May 2026Mathare United (away)Kenyan Premier League0-1L
24 May 2026Tusker (home)Kenyan Premier League1-0W
20 May 2026APS Bomet (home)Kenyan Premier League0-2L

Leopards vs Bandari head to head

In their last six meetings in our data, Leopards won 2, Bandari won 1 and 3 were drawn. The most recent, on 14 February 2026, finished Bandari 0–0 Leopards.

DateMatchScore
14 Feb 2026Bandari – LeopardsKenyan Premier League0-0
15 Oct 2025Leopards – BandariKenyan Premier League0-0
18 May 2025Bandari – LeopardsKenyan Premier League0-0
22 Dec 2024Leopards – BandariKenyan Premier League2-0
5 May 2024Leopards – BandariKenyan Premier League1-0
22 Oct 2023Bandari – LeopardsKenyan Premier League1-0

The rest of the Kenyan Premier League is on our FKF Premier League page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.

Where to place this bet

Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.

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