Lincoln Red Imps vs Twente prediction: UEFA Conference League, Thursday 22 October

Lincoln Red Imps host Twente in the UEFA Conference League on Thursday 22 October, kick-off 22:00 EAT. The match is played at Europa Point Sports Complex (Gibraltar). Lincoln Red Imps are 27th in the table with 0 points from 1 games; Twente are 14th with 3.

Who will win Lincoln Red Imps vs Twente?

The model makes Twente clear favourites at 69%, with the draw at 19% and Lincoln Red Imps at 12%. Megapari's 1.29 on Twente is shorter than our fair price of 1.44: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.

Two markets clear our thresholds for this match: Twente to win (69%) and draw or Twente (88%).

Odds: Megapari, as of 18 October 2026, 17:04 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Lincoln Red Imps vs Twente

Goals are expected: 0.9 for Lincoln Red Imps and 2.0 for Twente, 2.9 in all, which puts over 2.5 goals at 59%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 51%.

Lincoln Red Imps vs Twente correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 0-2 at 11%, ahead of 0-1 (11%) and 1-1 (10%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 9 matches like this one.

Form: Lincoln Red Imps and Twente in their last five

Lincoln Red Imps have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -1. Twente are unbeaten in 5 (4 wins, 1 draw), with 8 goals scored and 3 conceded. The results cover every competition in our data.

Lincoln Red Imps: last five matches

Twente: last five matches

Lincoln Red Imps vs Twente head to head

Lincoln Red Imps and Twente have not met in the matches our data covers, which go back three seasons.

All the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.