Man City vs Ipswich Town prediction: Premier League, Saturday 17 October

Man City host Ipswich Town in the Premier League on Saturday 17 October, kick-off 17:00 EAT. The match is played at Etihad (Manchester). Man City are 1st in the table with 15 points from 5 games; Ipswich Town are 11th with 6.

Who will win Man City vs Ipswich Town?

The model makes Man City clear favourites at 77%, with the draw at 14% and Ipswich Town at 9%. Megapari's 1.29 on Man City sits right on our fair price of 1.29.

Four markets clear our thresholds for this match: Man City to win (77%), Man City or draw (91%), over 1.5 goals (83%) and over 2.5 goals (66%).

Odds: Megapari, as of 10 October 2026, 17:08 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Man City vs Ipswich Town

Goals are expected: 2.8 for Man City and 0.8 for Ipswich Town, 3.6 in all, which puts over 2.5 goals at 66%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 54%.

Man City vs Ipswich Town correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 2-0 at 10%, ahead of 3-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 10 matches like this one.

Form: Man City and Ipswich Town in their last five

Man City have won all of their last 5, scoring 13 and conceding 4. Ipswich Town have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -4. The results cover every competition in our data.

Man City: last five matches

Ipswich Town: last five matches

Man City vs Ipswich Town head to head

In their last two meetings in our data, Man City won 2, Ipswich Town won none and none was drawn. The most recent, on 19 January 2025, finished Ipswich Town 0–6 Man City.

How the odds have moved

Megapari's price on Man City has drifted from 1.26 to 1.29 since the line opened: the market rates them lower than it did at the open. Over 2.5 goals has moved from 1.33 to 1.34, so the market now expects fewer goals than at the open.

Prices from Megapari: the first one we recorded and the latest before kick-off.

The rest of the Premier League is on our Premier League page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.