Tanzanian Premier League
Namungo vs Coastal Union prediction: Tanzanian Premier League, Saturday 24 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Namungo
Coastal Union
- Namungo
- 39%
- Draw
- 33%
- Coastal Union
- 28%
- Draw33% · fair 3.01
- Under 2.5 goals62% · fair 1.60
- Under 3.5 goals83% · fair 1.20
xG 1.0–0.8 · likeliest 0-0 (16%)
Namungo host Coastal Union in the Tanzanian Premier League on Saturday 24 October, kick-off 20:30 EAT. Namungo are 11th in the table with 9 points from 8 games; Coastal Union are 10th with 10.
Who will win Namungo vs Coastal Union?
There is little to separate the sides: Namungo 39%, the draw 33%, Coastal Union 28%. At 33% the draw is a real option, more likely than in most matches.
Three markets clear our thresholds for this match: draw (33%), under 2.5 goals (62%) and under 3.5 goals (83%).
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Namungo to win | 39% | 2.56 |
| Draw Tip | 33% | 3.01 |
| Coastal Union to win | 28% | 3.61 |
| Namungo or draw | 72% | 1.38 |
| Draw or Coastal Union | 61% | 1.64 |
| Namungo or Coastal Union | 67% | 1.50 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 64% | 1.56 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 38% | 2.66 |
| Under 2.5 goals Tip | 62% | 1.60 |
| Under 3.5 goals Tip | 83% | 1.20 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 46% | 2.19 |
| Both teams to score: no | 54% | 1.84 |
Goals in Namungo vs Coastal Union
The numbers point to a tight game: expected goals of 1.0 and 0.8, and under 2.5 goals at 62%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 46%.
Namungo vs Coastal Union correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 0-0 at 16%, ahead of 1-0 (16%) and 1-1 (14%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 6 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | 16.3% | 6.13 |
| 1-0 | 15.7% | 6.37 |
| 1-1 | 13.8% | 7.24 |
| 0-1 | 12.4% | 8.08 |
| 2-0 | 8.3% | 11.99 |
Form: Namungo and Coastal Union in their last five
Namungo have won 1 and lost 4 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -4. Coastal Union have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +0. The results cover every competition in our data.
Namungo: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Oct 2026 | TRA United (home)Tanzanian Premier League | 1-0 | W |
| 11 Sep 2026 | Dodoma Jiji (away)Tanzanian Premier League | 0-1 | L |
| 7 Sep 2026 | Azam (away)Tanzanian Premier League | 0-2 | L |
| 1 Sep 2026 | Singida BS (away)Tanzanian Premier League | 2-3 | L |
| 29 Aug 2026 | JKT Tanzania (away)Tanzanian Premier League | 1-2 | L |
Coastal Union: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct 2026 | Singida BS (home)Tanzanian Premier League | 1-0 | W |
| 9 Oct 2026 | Azam (home)Tanzanian Premier League | 0-2 | L |
| 12 Sep 2026 | JKT Tanzania (home)Tanzanian Premier League | 2-1 | W |
| 6 Sep 2026 | Polisi Tanzania (away)Tanzanian Premier League | 2-1 | W |
| 27 Aug 2026 | Simba (away)Tanzanian Premier League | 0-1 | L |
Namungo vs Coastal Union head to head
In their last six meetings in our data, Namungo won 3, Coastal Union won none and 3 were drawn. The most recent, on 12 June 2026, finished Coastal Union 1–1 Namungo.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun 2026 | Coastal Union – NamungoTanzanian Premier League | 1-1 |
| 23 Jan 2026 | Namungo – Coastal UnionTanzanian Premier League | 1-0 |
| 23 Feb 2025 | Namungo – Coastal UnionTanzanian Premier League | 0-0 |
| 17 Sep 2024 | Coastal Union – NamungoTanzanian Premier League | 0-2 |
| 17 Apr 2024 | Namungo – Coastal UnionTanzanian Premier League | 1-0 |
| 1 Nov 2023 | Coastal Union – NamungoTanzanian Premier League | 0-0 |
The rest of the Tanzanian Premier League is on our NBC Premier League page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.
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