UEFA Champions League
Napoli vs Bodø/Glimt prediction: UEFA Champions League, Tuesday 20 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Napoli host Bodø/Glimt in the UEFA Champions League on Tuesday 20 October, kick-off 22:00 EAT. The match is played at Diego Armando Maradona (Naples). Napoli are 32nd in the table with 0 points from 2 games; Bodø/Glimt are 24th with 3.
Who will win Napoli vs Bodø/Glimt?
Napoli are favourites, though not by much: 51% to win, 23% for the draw and 26% for Bodø/Glimt. Megapari's 1.64 on Napoli is shorter than our fair price of 1.97: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.
Two markets clear our thresholds for this match: over 1.5 goals (78%) and both teams to score: yes (59%).
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | Megapari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli to win | 51% | 1.97 | 1.64 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.35 | 4.67 |
| Bodø/Glimt to win | 26% | 3.80 | 5.18 |
| Napoli or draw | 74% | 1.36 | 1.20 |
| Draw or Bodø/Glimt | 49% | 2.03 | 2.40 |
| Napoli or Bodø/Glimt | 77% | 1.30 | 1.23 |
| Over 1.5 goals Tip | 78% | 1.28 | 1.11 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 1.67 | 1.45 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.49 | 2.51 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 66% | 1.51 | 1.72 |
| Both teams to score: yes Tip | 59% | 1.70 | 1.53 |
| Both teams to score: no | 41% | 2.44 | 2.37 |
Odds: Megapari, as of 15 October 2026, 05:08 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Napoli vs Bodø/Glimt
Goals are expected: 1.6 for Napoli and 1.4 for Bodø/Glimt, 3.0 in all, which puts over 2.5 goals at 60%. Both teams score in this match with a probability of 59%.
Napoli vs Bodø/Glimt correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-1 at 12%, ahead of 2-1 (9%) and 1-2 (8%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 9 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 11.5% | 8.70 |
| 2-1 | 8.9% | 11.27 |
| 1-2 | 7.9% | 12.69 |
| 1-0 | 7.3% | 13.66 |
| 0-1 | 6.5% | 15.50 |
Form: Napoli and Bodø/Glimt in their last five
Napoli have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +1. Bodø/Glimt have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -2. The results cover every competition in our data.
Napoli: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct 2026 | Villarreal (away)UEFA Champions League | 1-3 | L |
| 10 Oct 2026 | Frosinone (home)Serie A | 3-0 | W |
| 20 Sep 2026 | Fiorentina (away)Serie A | 1-1 | D |
| 13 Sep 2026 | Bologna (home)Serie A | 1-0 | W |
| 9 Sep 2026 | Arsenal (home)UEFA Champions League | 0-1 | L |
Bodø/Glimt: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct 2026 | Borussia Dortmund (home)UEFA Champions League | 1-0 | W |
| 10 Oct 2026 | Kristiansund BK (home)Eliteserien | 3-1 | W |
| 20 Sep 2026 | Brann (away)Eliteserien | 1-2 | L |
| 14 Sep 2026 | Sandefjord (home)Eliteserien | 3-2 | W |
| 10 Sep 2026 | Bayern Munich (away)UEFA Champions League | 0-5 | L |
Napoli vs Bodø/Glimt head to head
Napoli and Bodø/Glimt have not met in the matches our data covers, which go back three seasons.
The rest of the UEFA Champions League is on our Champions League page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.
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