UEFA Europa League
Olympiacos vs Sparta Prague prediction: UEFA Europa League, Thursday 22 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Olympiacos
Sparta Prague
- Olympiacos
- 53%Megapari 1.78
- Draw
- 27%Megapari 3.98
- Sparta Prague
- 20%Megapari 4.62
- Under 3.5 goals80% · fair 1.25Bet 1.37
xG 1.4–0.7 · likeliest 1-0 (17%)
Olympiacos host Sparta Prague in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday 22 October, kick-off 22:00 EAT. The match is played at Karaiskakis (Piraeus). Olympiacos are 10th in the table with 6 points from 2 games; Sparta Prague are 11th with 4.
Who will win Olympiacos vs Sparta Prague?
Olympiacos are favourites, though not by much: 53% to win, 27% for the draw and 20% for Sparta Prague. Megapari's 1.78 on Olympiacos is shorter than our fair price of 1.88: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.
One market clears our thresholds for this match: under 3.5 goals (80%).
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | Megapari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Olympiacos to win | 53% | 1.88 | 1.78 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.73 | 3.98 |
| Sparta Prague to win | 20% | 4.98 | 4.62 |
| Olympiacos or draw | 80% | 1.25 | 1.22 |
| Draw or Sparta Prague | 47% | 2.13 | 2.11 |
| Olympiacos or Sparta Prague | 73% | 1.37 | 1.27 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 67% | 1.49 | 1.21 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.10 | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.91 | 2.10 |
| Under 3.5 goals Tip | 80% | 1.25 | 1.37 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 51% | 1.98 | 1.70 |
| Both teams to score: no | 49% | 2.02 | 2.05 |
Odds: Megapari, as of 16 October 2026, 05:08 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Olympiacos vs Sparta Prague
Expected goals are 1.4 for Olympiacos and 0.7 for Sparta Prague, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 48%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 51%.
Olympiacos vs Sparta Prague correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-0 at 17%, ahead of 0-0 (13%) and 1-1 (13%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 6 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | 16.8% | 5.96 |
| 0-0 | 13.3% | 7.51 |
| 1-1 | 12.7% | 7.87 |
| 2-0 | 11.6% | 8.60 |
| 0-1 | 8.6% | 11.66 |
Form: Olympiacos and Sparta Prague in their last five
Olympiacos have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +3. Sparta Prague are unbeaten in 5 (4 wins, 1 draw), with 12 goals scored and 2 conceded. The results cover every competition in our data.
Olympiacos: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct 2026 | Marseille (away)UEFA Europa League | 1-0 | W |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Panathinaikos (home)Super League Greece | 1-0 | W |
| 20 Sep 2026 | Levadiakos (away)Super League Greece | 1-0 | W |
| 16 Sep 2026 | Jagiellonia Białystok (home)UEFA Europa League | 2-1 | W |
| 12 Sep 2026 | OFI Crete (home)Super League Greece | 0-1 | L |
Sparta Prague: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct 2026 | Lillestrom (home)UEFA Europa League | 1-1 | D |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Pardubice (home)Czech First League | 2-0 | W |
| 20 Sep 2026 | Sigma Olomouc (away)Czech First League | 3-0 | W |
| 16 Sep 2026 | Ararat-Armenia (away)UEFA Europa League | 4-1 | W |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Jablonec (home)Czech First League | 2-0 | W |
Olympiacos vs Sparta Prague head to head
Olympiacos and Sparta Prague have not met in the matches our data covers, which go back three seasons.
The rest of the UEFA Europa League is on our Europa League page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.
+100% bonus on your first deposit with promo code TIPSQUANT