South African Premiership
Orlando Pirates vs TS Galaxy prediction: South African Premiership, Tuesday 13 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Orlando Pirates host TS Galaxy in the South African Premiership on Tuesday 13 October, kick-off 20:30 EAT. The match is played at Orlando (Johannesburg). Orlando Pirates are 2nd in the table with 19 points from 7 games; TS Galaxy are 12th with 6.
Who will win Orlando Pirates vs TS Galaxy?
The model makes Orlando Pirates clear favourites at 77%, with the draw at 16% and TS Galaxy at 7%. Megapari's 1.31 on Orlando Pirates sits right on our fair price of 1.30.
Two markets clear our thresholds for this match: Orlando Pirates to win (77%) and Orlando Pirates or draw (93%).
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | Megapari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando Pirates to win Tip | 77% | 1.30 | 1.31 |
| Draw | 16% | 6.20 | 4.60 |
| TS Galaxy to win | 7% | 14.88 | 9.20 |
| Orlando Pirates or draw Tip | 93% | 1.07 | 1.03 |
| Draw or TS Galaxy | 23% | 4.38 | 3.40 |
| Orlando Pirates or TS Galaxy | 84% | 1.19 | 1.14 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% | 1.29 | 1.30 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.94 | 1.99 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.06 | 1.82 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 67% | 1.49 | 1.28 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 40% | 2.48 | 2.40 |
| Both teams to score: no | 60% | 1.68 | 1.51 |
Odds: Megapari, as of 11 October 2026, 12:05 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Orlando Pirates vs TS Galaxy
Expected goals are 2.6 for Orlando Pirates and 0.4 for TS Galaxy, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 51%. TS Galaxy may struggle to score at all: both teams to score is only 40%.
Orlando Pirates vs TS Galaxy correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 2-0 at 17%, ahead of 3-0 (15%) and 1-0 (13%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 6 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 2-0 | 17.3% | 5.78 |
| 3-0 | 14.8% | 6.76 |
| 1-0 | 13.2% | 7.56 |
| 4-0 | 9.5% | 10.53 |
| 2-1 | 6.6% | 15.22 |
Form: Orlando Pirates and TS Galaxy in their last five
Orlando Pirates have won all of their last 5, scoring 13 and conceding 0. TS Galaxy have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -1. The results cover every competition in our data.
Orlando Pirates: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep 2026 | Marumo Gallants (away)South African Premiership | 2-0 | W |
| 17 Sep 2026 | Durban City (home)South African Premiership | 2-0 | W |
| 1 Sep 2026 | Kruger United (away)South African Premiership | 4-0 | W |
| 25 Aug 2026 | Sekhukhune United (home)South African Premiership | 2-0 | W |
| 16 Aug 2026 | Chippa United (away)South African Premiership | 3-0 | W |
TS Galaxy: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep 2026 | Chippa United (home)South African Premiership | 0-1 | L |
| 13 Sep 2026 | Kruger United (home)South African Premiership | 0-1 | L |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Sekhukhune United (away)South African Premiership | 0-0 | D |
| 25 Aug 2026 | Marumo Gallants (away)South African Premiership | 3-2 | W |
| 16 Aug 2026 | Lamontville Golden Arrows (home)South African Premiership | 0-0 | D |
Orlando Pirates vs TS Galaxy head to head
In their last three meetings in our data, Orlando Pirates won 3, TS Galaxy won none and none was drawn. The most recent, on 22 March 2026, finished TS Galaxy 0–6 Orlando Pirates.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar 2026 | TS Galaxy – Orlando PiratesSouth African Premiership | 0-6 |
| 30 Sep 2025 | Orlando Pirates – TS GalaxySouth African Premiership | 2-0 |
| 29 Oct 2024 | TS Galaxy – Orlando PiratesSouth African Premiership | 0-2 |
All the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.
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