Belgian Pro League
Oud-Heverlee Leuven vs Lommel SK prediction: Belgian Pro League, Saturday 24 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Lommel SK
- Oud-Heverlee Leuven
- 42%Megapari 1.94
- Draw
- 27%Megapari 3.82
- Lommel SK
- 31%Megapari 3.60
No tip: no market clears our thresholds for this match.
xG 1.2–1.2 · likeliest 1-1 (14%)
Oud-Heverlee Leuven host Lommel SK in the Belgian Pro League on Saturday 24 October, kick-off 19:15 EAT. The match is played at Easi Arena (La Louviere). Oud-Heverlee Leuven are 15th in the table with 5 points from 8 games; Lommel SK are 10th with 11.
Who will win Oud-Heverlee Leuven vs Lommel SK?
There is little to separate the sides: Oud-Heverlee Leuven 42%, the draw 27%, Lommel SK 31%. Megapari's 1.94 on Oud-Heverlee Leuven is shorter than our fair price of 2.36: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.
No market clears our thresholds for this match, so it carries no tip in the daily lists; the table below is the model's full view of it.
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | Megapari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oud-Heverlee Leuven to win | 42% | 2.36 | 1.94 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.73 | 3.82 |
| Lommel SK to win | 31% | 3.24 | 3.60 |
| Oud-Heverlee Leuven or draw | 69% | 1.45 | 1.29 |
| Draw or Lommel SK | 58% | 1.73 | 1.85 |
| Oud-Heverlee Leuven or Lommel SK | 73% | 1.37 | 1.26 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71% | 1.40 | 1.14 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.88 | 1.59 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.13 | 2.35 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 75% | 1.33 | 1.48 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | 1.78 | 1.52 |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | 2.28 | 2.37 |
Odds: Megapari, as of 17 October 2026, 23:46 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Oud-Heverlee Leuven vs Lommel SK
Expected goals are 1.2 for Oud-Heverlee Leuven and 1.2 for Lommel SK, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 53%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 56%.
Oud-Heverlee Leuven vs Lommel SK correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-1 at 14%, ahead of 1-0 (11%) and 0-1 (10%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 7 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 13.6% | 7.33 |
| 1-0 | 10.6% | 9.47 |
| 0-1 | 10.5% | 9.55 |
| 0-0 | 9.8% | 10.19 |
| 2-1 | 7.8% | 12.79 |
Form: Oud-Heverlee Leuven and Lommel SK in their last five
Oud-Heverlee Leuven have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -2. Lommel SK have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -3. The results cover every competition in our data.
Oud-Heverlee Leuven: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct 2026 | Union Saint-Gilloise (away)Belgian Pro League | 1-1 | D |
| 19 Sep 2026 | RAAL La Louviere (home)Belgian Pro League | 2-0 | W |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Cercle Brugge (home)Belgian Pro League | 1-1 | D |
| 6 Sep 2026 | S.K. Beveren (away)Belgian Pro League | 0-3 | L |
| 3 Sep 2026 | Gent (away)Belgian Pro League | 0-1 | L |
Lommel SK: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Oct 2026 | S.K. Beveren (away)Belgian Pro League | 3-1 | W |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Mechelen (home)Belgian Pro League | 0-0 | D |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Union Saint-Gilloise (away)Belgian Pro League | 0-5 | L |
| 4 Sep 2026 | Club Brugge (home)Belgian Pro League | 0-1 | L |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Cercle Brugge (away)Belgian Pro League | 1-0 | W |
Oud-Heverlee Leuven vs Lommel SK head to head
Oud-Heverlee Leuven and Lommel SK have not met in the matches our data covers, which go back three seasons.
All the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.
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