Paris vs Rennes prediction: Ligue 1, Sunday 18 October

Paris host Rennes in Ligue 1 on Sunday 18 October, kick-off 18:15 EAT. The match is played at Jean-Bouin (Paris). Paris are 4th in the table with 11 points from 6 games; Rennes are 6th with 10.

Who will win Paris vs Rennes?

There is little to separate the sides: Paris 41%, the draw 27%, Rennes 32%. Megapari's 2.37 on Paris sits right on our fair price of 2.43.

One market clears our thresholds for this match: both teams to score: yes (59%).

Odds: Megapari, as of 11 October 2026, 23:47 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Paris vs Rennes

Expected goals are 1.5 for Paris and 1.4 for Rennes, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 56%. Both teams score in this match with a probability of 59%.

Paris vs Rennes correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 1-1 at 12%, ahead of 2-1 (9%) and 1-0 (8%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 8 matches like this one.

Form: Paris and Rennes in their last five

Paris have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +4. Rennes have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +1. The results cover every competition in our data.

Paris: last five matches

Rennes: last five matches

Paris vs Rennes head to head

In their last two meetings in our data, Paris won none, Rennes won 2 and none was drawn. The most recent, on 10 May 2026, finished Rennes 2–1 Paris.

The rest of Ligue 1 is on our Ligue 1 page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.