PEC Zwolle vs Go Ahead Eagles prediction: Eredivisie, Sunday 18 October

PEC Zwolle host Go Ahead Eagles in Eredivisie on Sunday 18 October, kick-off 13:15 EAT. The match is played at MAC³PARK (Zwolle). PEC Zwolle are 16th in the table with 4 points from 7 games; Go Ahead Eagles are 9th with 11.

Who will win PEC Zwolle vs Go Ahead Eagles?

Go Ahead Eagles are favourites, though not by much: 49% to win, 24% for the draw and 28% for PEC Zwolle. Megapari's 2.05 on Go Ahead Eagles sits right on our fair price of 2.05.

Three markets clear our thresholds for this match: over 1.5 goals (82%), over 2.5 goals (63%) and both teams to score: yes (63%).

Odds: Megapari, as of 11 October 2026, 17:08 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in PEC Zwolle vs Go Ahead Eagles

Goals are expected: 1.4 for PEC Zwolle and 2.0 for Go Ahead Eagles, 3.4 in all, which puts over 2.5 goals at 63%. Both teams score in this match with a probability of 63%.

PEC Zwolle vs Go Ahead Eagles correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 1-1 at 10%, ahead of 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (7%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 10 matches like this one.

Form: PEC Zwolle and Go Ahead Eagles in their last five

PEC Zwolle have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -10. Go Ahead Eagles have not won in 5 (4 draws, 1 defeat) and scored 10 in that run. The results cover every competition in our data.

PEC Zwolle: last five matches

Go Ahead Eagles: last five matches

PEC Zwolle vs Go Ahead Eagles head to head

In their last five meetings in our data, PEC Zwolle won none, Go Ahead Eagles won 2 and 3 were drawn. The most recent, on 5 April 2026, finished Go Ahead Eagles 5–0 PEC Zwolle.

How the odds have moved

Megapari's price on Go Ahead Eagles has shortened from 2.32 to 2.05 since the line opened: the market has moved towards them. Over 2.5 goals has moved from 1.36 to 1.37, so the market now expects fewer goals than at the open.

Prices from Megapari: the first one we recorded and the latest before kick-off.

All the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.