Tanzanian Premier League
Polisi Tanzania vs Pamba Jiji prediction: Tanzanian Premier League, Friday 23 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Polisi Tanzania
Pamba Jiji
- Polisi Tanzania
- 54%
- Draw
- 25%
- Pamba Jiji
- 22%
No tip: no market clears our thresholds for this match.
xG 1.7–1.0 · likeliest 1-1 (12%)
Polisi Tanzania host Pamba Jiji in the Tanzanian Premier League on Friday 23 October, kick-off 16:00 EAT. Polisi Tanzania are 7th in the table with 11 points from 8 games; Pamba Jiji are 15th with 5.
Who will win Polisi Tanzania vs Pamba Jiji?
Polisi Tanzania are favourites, though not by much: 54% to win, 25% for the draw and 22% for Pamba Jiji.
No market clears our thresholds for this match, so it carries no tip in the daily lists; the table below is the model's full view of it.
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Polisi Tanzania to win | 54% | 1.86 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.03 |
| Pamba Jiji to win | 22% | 4.64 |
| Polisi Tanzania or draw | 78% | 1.27 |
| Draw or Pamba Jiji | 46% | 2.16 |
| Polisi Tanzania or Pamba Jiji | 75% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% | 1.33 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.93 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.08 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 70% | 1.42 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 53% | 1.88 |
| Both teams to score: no | 47% | 2.13 |
Goals in Polisi Tanzania vs Pamba Jiji
Expected goals are 1.7 for Polisi Tanzania and 1.0 for Pamba Jiji, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 52%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 53%.
Polisi Tanzania vs Pamba Jiji correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-1 at 12%, ahead of 1-0 (11%) and 2-1 (10%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 8 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 11.8% | 8.47 |
| 1-0 | 10.9% | 9.19 |
| 2-1 | 9.7% | 10.27 |
| 2-0 | 9.7% | 10.29 |
| 0-0 | 7.1% | 14.16 |
Form: Polisi Tanzania and Pamba Jiji in their last five
Polisi Tanzania have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -2. Pamba Jiji have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -3. The results cover every competition in our data.
Polisi Tanzania: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct 2026 | Kagera Sugar (away)Tanzanian Premier League | 1-1 | D |
| 8 Oct 2026 | Mashujaa (away)Tanzanian Premier League | 1-2 | L |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Mbeya City (home)Tanzanian Premier League | 2-0 | W |
| 6 Sep 2026 | Coastal Union (home)Tanzanian Premier League | 1-2 | L |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Singida BS (away)Tanzanian Premier League | 2-4 | L |
Pamba Jiji: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct 2026 | Fountain Gate (away)Tanzanian Premier League | 1-1 | D |
| 8 Oct 2026 | Geita Gold (home)Tanzanian Premier League | 4-0 | W |
| 13 Sep 2026 | TRA United (home)Tanzanian Premier League | 1-3 | L |
| 5 Sep 2026 | JKT Tanzania (away)Tanzanian Premier League | 0-3 | L |
| 28 Aug 2026 | Young Africans (away)Tanzanian Premier League | 0-2 | L |
Polisi Tanzania vs Pamba Jiji head to head
Polisi Tanzania and Pamba Jiji have not met in the matches our data covers, which go back three seasons.
The rest of the Tanzanian Premier League is on our NBC Premier League page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.
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