Portsmouth vs Millwall prediction: EFL Championship, Saturday 24 October

Portsmouth host Millwall in the EFL Championship on Saturday 24 October, kick-off 14:30 EAT.

Who will win Portsmouth vs Millwall?

There is little to separate the sides: Portsmouth 35%, the draw 28%, Millwall 37%. Megapari's 2.72 on Millwall sits right on our fair price of 2.69.

No market clears our thresholds for this match, so it carries no tip in the daily lists; the table below is the model's full view of it.

Odds: Megapari, as of 17 October 2026, 23:46 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Portsmouth vs Millwall

Expected goals are 1.2 for Portsmouth and 1.4 for Millwall, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 49%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 54%.

Portsmouth vs Millwall correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 1-1 at 13%, ahead of 0-1 (10%) and 1-0 (9%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 8 matches like this one.

Form: Portsmouth and Millwall in their last five

Portsmouth have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -1. Millwall have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -1. The results cover every competition in our data.

Portsmouth: last five matches

Millwall: last five matches

Portsmouth vs Millwall head to head

In their last four meetings in our data, Portsmouth won 2, Millwall won 2 and none was drawn. The most recent, on 21 February 2026, finished Millwall 1–3 Portsmouth.

How the odds have moved

Megapari's price on Millwall has shortened from 2.82 to 2.72 since the line opened: the market has moved towards them.

Prices from Megapari: the first one we recorded and the latest before kick-off.

The rest of the EFL Championship is on our Championship page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.