Zambia Super League
Power Dynamos vs Nchanga Rangers prediction: Zambia Super League, Sunday 11 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Power Dynamos host Nchanga Rangers in the Zambia Super League on Sunday 11 October, kick-off 16:00 EAT. The match is played at Arthur Davies (Kitwe).
Who will win Power Dynamos vs Nchanga Rangers?
The model makes Power Dynamos clear favourites at 64%, with the draw at 25% and Nchanga Rangers at 12%. Megapari's 1.44 on Power Dynamos is shorter than our fair price of 1.57: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.
Three markets clear our thresholds for this match: Power Dynamos to win (64%), Power Dynamos or draw (88%) and under 3.5 goals (80%).
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | Megapari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Power Dynamos to win Tip | 64% | 1.57 | 1.44 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.02 | 3.64 |
| Nchanga Rangers to win | 12% | 8.68 | 7.15 |
| Power Dynamos or draw Tip | 88% | 1.13 | 1.03 |
| Draw or Nchanga Rangers | 36% | 2.75 | 2.38 |
| Power Dynamos or Nchanga Rangers | 75% | 1.33 | 1.18 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 67% | 1.49 | 1.42 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41% | 2.46 | 2.31 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 59% | 1.69 | 1.52 |
| Under 3.5 goals Tip | 80% | 1.25 | 1.15 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 40% | 2.50 | 2.47 |
| Both teams to score: no | 60% | 1.67 | 1.46 |
Odds: Megapari, as of 10 October 2026, 23:46 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Power Dynamos vs Nchanga Rangers
The numbers point to a tight game: expected goals of 1.6 and 0.5, and under 2.5 goals at 59%. Nchanga Rangers may struggle to score at all: both teams to score is only 40%.
Power Dynamos vs Nchanga Rangers correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-0 at 20%, ahead of 2-0 (16%) and 0-0 (13%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 5 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | 19.6% | 5.09 |
| 2-0 | 16.0% | 6.26 |
| 0-0 | 12.9% | 7.73 |
| 1-1 | 10.0% | 10.00 |
| 3-0 | 8.5% | 11.78 |
Form: Power Dynamos and Nchanga Rangers in their last five
Power Dynamos are unbeaten in 5 (3 wins, 2 draws), with 7 goals scored and 3 conceded. Nchanga Rangers have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +0. The results cover every competition in our data.
Power Dynamos: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May 2026 | Mufulira Wanderers (home)Zambia Super League | 2-0 | W |
| 17 May 2026 | Green Eagles (away)Zambia Super League | 1-0 | W |
| 13 May 2026 | Mutondo Stars (home)Zambia Super League | 2-2 | D |
| 6 May 2026 | Kansanshi Dynamos (away)Zambia Super League | 0-0 | D |
| 2 May 2026 | Konkola Blades (away)Zambia Super League | 2-1 | W |
Nchanga Rangers: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May 2026 | Konkola Blades (home)Zambia Super League | 1-2 | L |
| 16 May 2026 | Zanaco (away)Zambia Super League | 0-1 | L |
| 8 May 2026 | Kabwe Warriors (home)Zambia Super League | 1-1 | D |
| 3 May 2026 | Nkana (away)Zambia Super League | 1-0 | W |
| 29 Apr 2026 | Nkwazi (home)Zambia Super League | 1-0 | W |
Power Dynamos vs Nchanga Rangers head to head
In their last four meetings in our data, Power Dynamos won 2, Nchanga Rangers won 1 and 1 was drawn. The most recent, on 1 March 2026, finished Power Dynamos 3–1 Nchanga Rangers.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Mar 2026 | Power Dynamos – Nchanga RangersZambia Super League | 3-1 |
| 29 Oct 2025 | Nchanga Rangers – Power DynamosZambia Super League | 0-1 |
| 17 May 2025 | Nchanga Rangers – Power DynamosZambia Super League | 1-1 |
| 18 Dec 2024 | Power Dynamos – Nchanga RangersZambia Super League | 0-1 |
The rest of the Zambia Super League is on our Zambia Super League page, every match tomorrow is priced on Tomorrow and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.
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