PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord prediction: Eredivisie, Sunday 25 October

PSV Eindhoven host Feyenoord in Eredivisie on Sunday 25 October, kick-off 16:30 EAT. The match is played at Philips (Eindhoven). PSV Eindhoven are 3rd in the table with 19 points from 9 games; Feyenoord are 1st with 23.

Who will win PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord?

PSV Eindhoven are favourites, though not by much: 53% to win, 21% for the draw and 26% for Feyenoord. Megapari's 1.92 on PSV Eindhoven sits right on our fair price of 1.89.

Three markets clear our thresholds for this match: over 1.5 goals (88%), over 2.5 goals (71%) and both teams to score: yes (68%).

Odds: Megapari, as of 18 October 2026, 17:04 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord

Goals are expected: 2.6 for PSV Eindhoven and 1.7 for Feyenoord, 4.3 in all, which puts over 2.5 goals at 71%. Both teams score in this match with a probability of 68%.

PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 2-1 at 8%, ahead of 2-2 (7%) and 3-1 (7%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 13 matches like this one.

Form: PSV Eindhoven and Feyenoord in their last five

PSV Eindhoven have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +2. Feyenoord have won all of their last 5, scoring 21 and conceding 5. The results cover every competition in our data.

PSV Eindhoven: last five matches

Feyenoord: last five matches

PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord head to head

In their last six meetings in our data, PSV Eindhoven won 5, Feyenoord won none and 1 was drawn. The most recent, on 1 February 2026, finished PSV Eindhoven 3–0 Feyenoord.

How the odds have moved

Megapari's price on PSV Eindhoven has shortened from 2.12 to 1.92 since the line opened: the market has moved towards them. Over 2.5 goals has moved from 1.28 to 1.26, so the market now expects more goals than at the open.

Prices from Megapari: the first one we recorded and the latest before kick-off.

All the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.