Racing de Santander vs Espanyol prediction: LaLiga, Saturday 24 October

Racing de Santander host Espanyol in LaLiga on Saturday 24 October, kick-off 17:15 EAT. The match is played at Campos de Sport de El Sardinero (Santander). Racing de Santander are 15th in the table with 8 points from 8 games; Espanyol are 12th with 8.

Who will win Racing de Santander vs Espanyol?

There is little to separate the sides: Racing de Santander 40%, the draw 25%, Espanyol 35%. Megapari's 2.57 on Racing de Santander sits right on our fair price of 2.50.

Two markets clear our thresholds for this match: over 1.5 goals (81%) and both teams to score: yes (60%).

Odds: Megapari, as of 17 October 2026, 23:46 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Racing de Santander vs Espanyol

Expected goals are 1.7 for Racing de Santander and 1.6 for Espanyol, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 58%. Both teams score in this match with a probability of 60%.

Racing de Santander vs Espanyol correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 1-1 at 10%, ahead of 2-1 (9%) and 1-2 (8%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 10 matches like this one.

Form: Racing de Santander and Espanyol in their last five

Racing de Santander have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -10. Espanyol have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5, with a goal difference of -2. The results cover every competition in our data.

Racing de Santander: last five matches

Espanyol: last five matches

Racing de Santander vs Espanyol head to head

Racing de Santander and Espanyol have not met in the matches our data covers, which go back three seasons.

How the odds have moved

Megapari's price on Racing de Santander has shortened from 2.79 to 2.57 since the line opened: the market has moved towards them. Over 2.5 goals has moved from 1.73 to 1.77, so the market now expects fewer goals than at the open.

Prices from Megapari: the first one we recorded and the latest before kick-off.

The rest of LaLiga is on our La Liga page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.