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Scottish Premiership

Rangers vs St. Johnstone prediction: Scottish Premiership, Saturday 24 October

TipsQuant editorial team · Updated

Rangers

St. Johnstone

Rangers
66%Megapari 1.23
Draw
20%Megapari 6.00
St. Johnstone
14%Megapari 11.00

xG 1.8–0.9 · likeliest 1-1 (12%)

Rangers host St. Johnstone in the Scottish Premiership on Saturday 24 October, kick-off 17:00 EAT. The match is played at Ibrox (Glasgow). Rangers are 2nd in the table with 19 points from 8 games; St. Johnstone are 5th with 12.

Who will win Rangers vs St. Johnstone?

The model makes Rangers clear favourites at 66%, with the draw at 20% and St. Johnstone at 14%. Megapari's 1.23 on Rangers is shorter than our fair price of 1.51: the bookmaker rates them a little higher than the model does.

Two markets clear our thresholds for this match: Rangers to win (66%) and Rangers or draw (86%).

BetProbabilityFair oddsMegapari
Rangers to win Tip 66% 1.51 1.23
Draw 20% 5.03 6.00
St. Johnstone to win 14% 7.12 11.00
Rangers or draw Tip 86% 1.16 1.01
Draw or St. Johnstone 34% 2.95 3.94
Rangers or St. Johnstone 80% 1.25 1.10
Over 1.5 goals 75% 1.33 1.11
Over 2.5 goals 57% 1.75 1.44
Under 2.5 goals 43% 2.34 2.42
Under 3.5 goals 71% 1.42 1.61
Both teams to score: yes 50% 2.00 1.95
Both teams to score: no 50% 2.00 1.76

Odds: Megapari, as of 17 October 2026, 23:46 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.

Goals in Rangers vs St. Johnstone

Expected goals are 1.8 for Rangers and 0.9 for St. Johnstone, and over 2.5 goals is close to even at 57%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 50%.

Rangers vs St. Johnstone correct score prediction

The single most likely score is 1-1 at 12%, ahead of 1-0 (11%) and 2-0 (10%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 9 matches like this one.

Correct scoreProbabilityFair odds
1-111.5%8.67
1-011.3%8.88
2-010.3%9.67
2-19.8%10.20
0-07.1%14.14

Form: Rangers and St. Johnstone in their last five

Rangers are unbeaten in 5 (4 wins, 1 draw), with 7 goals scored and 2 conceded. St. Johnstone have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +1. The results cover every competition in our data.

Rangers: last five matches

DateOpponentScoreResult
10 Oct 2026Kilmarnock (home)Scottish Premiership3-1W
20 Sep 2026Celtic (away)Scottish Premiership1-0W
11 Sep 2026Sobemap (away)CAF Champions League1-1D
9 Sep 2026St. Mirren (home)Scottish Premiership1-0W
5 Sep 2026Motherwell (home)Scottish Premiership1-0W

St. Johnstone: last five matches

DateOpponentScoreResult
17 Oct 2026Dundee United (home)Scottish Premiership1-1D
11 Oct 2026Aberdeen (away)Scottish Premiership1-0W
19 Sep 2026Falkirk (home)Scottish Premiership1-1D
9 Sep 2026Celtic (home)Scottish Premiership0-1L
6 Sep 2026Hibernian (home)Scottish Premiership2-1W

Rangers vs St. Johnstone head to head

In their last three meetings in our data, Rangers won 3, St. Johnstone won none and none was drawn. The most recent, on 12 January 2025, finished Rangers 3–1 St. Johnstone.

DateMatchScore
12 Jan 2025Rangers – St. JohnstoneScottish Premiership3-1
1 Dec 2024St. Johnstone – RangersScottish Premiership0-1
6 Oct 2024Rangers – St. JohnstoneScottish Premiership2-0

How the odds have moved

Megapari's price on Rangers has shortened from 1.28 to 1.23 since the line opened: the market has moved towards them. Over 2.5 goals has moved from 1.56 to 1.44, so the market now expects more goals than at the open.

BetOpening oddsLatest odds
Rangers to win1.281.23 ↓
Draw5.406.00 ↑
St. Johnstone to win9.6011.00 ↑
Over 2.5 goals1.561.44 ↓
Under 2.5 goals2.332.42 ↑
Both teams to score: yes1.931.95 ↑
Both teams to score: no1.781.76 ↓

Prices from Megapari: the first one we recorded and the latest before kick-off.

All the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.

How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.

Where to place this bet

Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.

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