LaLiga
Real Sociedad vs Levante UD prediction: LaLiga, Sunday 25 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Real Sociedad host Levante UD in LaLiga on Sunday 25 October, kick-off 20:30 EAT. The match is played at Anoeta (San Sebastián). Real Sociedad are 5th in the table with 16 points from 9 games; Levante UD are 17th with 7.
Who will win Real Sociedad vs Levante UD?
Real Sociedad are favourites, though not by much: 56% to win, 22% for the draw and 22% for Levante UD. Megapari's 1.76 on Real Sociedad sits right on our fair price of 1.78.
Two markets clear our thresholds for this match: Real Sociedad to win (56%) and over 1.5 goals (81%).
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | Megapari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad to win Tip | 56% | 1.78 | 1.76 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.47 | 4.26 |
| Levante UD to win | 22% | 4.64 | 4.72 |
| Real Sociedad or draw | 78% | 1.27 | 1.23 |
| Draw or Levante UD | 44% | 2.28 | 2.19 |
| Real Sociedad or Levante UD | 78% | 1.29 | 1.26 |
| Over 1.5 goals Tip | 81% | 1.23 | 1.16 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% | 1.69 | 1.71 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 41% | 2.45 | 2.32 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 61% | 1.63 | 1.44 |
| Both teams to score: yes | 58% | 1.73 | 1.61 |
| Both teams to score: no | 42% | 2.38 | 2.19 |
Odds: Megapari, as of 18 October 2026, 23:45 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Real Sociedad vs Levante UD
Goals are expected: 2.1 for Real Sociedad and 1.3 for Levante UD, 3.4 in all, which puts over 2.5 goals at 59%. Both teams to score is close to a coin flip at 58%.
Real Sociedad vs Levante UD correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 2-1 at 10%, ahead of 1-1 (10%) and 2-0 (8%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 10 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 2-1 | 9.6% | 10.38 |
| 1-1 | 9.5% | 10.49 |
| 2-0 | 7.6% | 13.16 |
| 1-0 | 6.9% | 14.58 |
| 3-1 | 6.8% | 14.81 |
Form: Real Sociedad and Levante UD in their last five
Real Sociedad have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +4. Levante UD have not won in 5 (3 draws, 2 defeats) and scored 7 in that run. The results cover every competition in our data.
Real Sociedad: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct 2026 | Malaga (away)LaLiga | 5-2 | W |
| 15 Oct 2026 | Union Saint-Gilloise (away)UEFA Europa League | 1-1 | D |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Deportivo de A Coruna (home)LaLiga | 3-2 | W |
| 20 Sep 2026 | Valencia (away)LaLiga | 3-2 | W |
| 17 Sep 2026 | Bournemouth (home)UEFA Europa League | 1-2 | L |
Levante UD: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct 2026 | Deportivo de A Coruna (away)LaLiga | 1-1 | D |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Sevilla (home)LaLiga | 3-3 | D |
| 20 Sep 2026 | Villarreal (away)LaLiga | 1-3 | L |
| 13 Sep 2026 | Barcelona (home)LaLiga | 2-4 | L |
| 6 Sep 2026 | Malaga (away)LaLiga | 0-0 | D |
Real Sociedad vs Levante UD head to head
In their last two meetings in our data, Real Sociedad won 1, Levante UD won none and 1 was drawn. The most recent, on 4 April 2026, finished Real Sociedad 2–0 Levante UD.
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 4 Apr 2026 | Real Sociedad – Levante UDLaLiga | 2-0 |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Levante UD – Real SociedadLaLiga | 1-1 |
How the odds have moved
Megapari's price on Real Sociedad has shortened from 1.79 to 1.76 since the line opened: the market has moved towards them. Over 2.5 goals has moved from 1.70 to 1.71, so the market now expects fewer goals than at the open.
| Bet | Opening odds | Latest odds |
|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad to win | 1.79 | 1.76 ↓ |
| Draw | 4.09 | 4.26 ↑ |
| Levante UD to win | 4.72 | 4.72 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.70 | 1.71 ↑ |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.35 | 2.32 ↓ |
| Both teams to score: yes | 1.75 | 1.61 ↓ |
| Both teams to score: no | 2.08 | 2.19 ↑ |
Prices from Megapari: the first one we recorded and the latest before kick-off.
The rest of LaLiga is on our La Liga page and all the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.
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