UEFA Conference League
Red Star Belgrade vs Copenhagen prediction: UEFA Conference League, Thursday 22 October
TipsQuant editorial team · Updated
Red Star Belgrade host Copenhagen in the UEFA Conference League on Thursday 22 October, kick-off 19:45 EAT. The match is played at Rajko Mitic (Belgrade). Red Star Belgrade are 24th in the table with 0 points from 1 games; Copenhagen are 2nd with 3.
Who will win Red Star Belgrade vs Copenhagen?
There is little to separate the sides: Red Star Belgrade 43%, the draw 25%, Copenhagen 32%. Megapari pays 2.52 on Red Star Belgrade, more than our fair price of 2.31.
Two markets clear our thresholds for this match: over 1.5 goals (82%) and both teams to score: yes (60%).
| Bet | Probability | Fair odds | Megapari |
|---|---|---|---|
| Red Star Belgrade to win | 43% | 2.31 | 2.52 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.07 | 3.65 |
| Copenhagen to win | 32% | 3.12 | 2.74 |
| Red Star Belgrade or draw | 68% | 1.47 | 1.48 |
| Draw or Copenhagen | 57% | 1.77 | 1.55 |
| Red Star Belgrade or Copenhagen | 75% | 1.33 | 1.30 |
| Over 1.5 goals Tip | 82% | 1.22 | 1.17 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% | 1.71 | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 41% | 2.41 | 2.18 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 61% | 1.65 | 1.39 |
| Both teams to score: yes Tip | 60% | 1.67 | 1.54 |
| Both teams to score: no | 40% | 2.50 | 2.32 |
Odds: Megapari, as of 16 October 2026, 12:04 EAT. Prices move; check the bookmaker before you bet.
Goals in Red Star Belgrade vs Copenhagen
Goals are expected: 1.9 for Red Star Belgrade and 1.5 for Copenhagen, 3.4 in all, which puts over 2.5 goals at 59%. Both teams score in this match with a probability of 60%.
Red Star Belgrade vs Copenhagen correct score prediction
The single most likely score is 1-1 at 10%, ahead of 2-1 (9%) and 1-2 (7%). Even the top score comes up only about once in 10 matches like this one.
| Correct score | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 9.8% | 10.26 |
| 2-1 | 9.1% | 10.95 |
| 1-2 | 6.9% | 14.49 |
| 2-2 | 6.7% | 14.86 |
| 2-0 | 6.2% | 16.13 |
Form: Red Star Belgrade and Copenhagen in their last five
Red Star Belgrade have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +7. Copenhagen have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5, with a goal difference of +10. The results cover every competition in our data.
Red Star Belgrade: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct 2026 | Lugano (away)UEFA Conference League | 2-3 | L |
| 10 Oct 2026 | Radnicki (away)Serbian SuperLiga | 3-0 | W |
| 20 Sep 2026 | Radnicki Nis (home)Serbian SuperLiga | 3-0 | W |
| 17 Sep 2026 | Zeleznicar Pancevo (away)Serbian SuperLiga | 2-1 | W |
| 13 Sep 2026 | IMT Novi Beograd (away)Serbian SuperLiga | 1-0 | W |
Copenhagen: last five matches
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct 2026 | Braga (home)UEFA Conference League | 3-0 | W |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Midtjylland (away)Danish Superliga | 1-2 | L |
| 20 Sep 2026 | Brondby (away)Danish Superliga | 1-0 | W |
| 11 Sep 2026 | Horsens (home)Danish Superliga | 2-0 | W |
| 6 Sep 2026 | Odense (away)Danish Superliga | 5-0 | W |
Red Star Belgrade vs Copenhagen head to head
Red Star Belgrade and Copenhagen have not met in the matches our data covers, which go back three seasons.
All the matches we cover this week are listed on Match predictions.
How these numbers are made: attack and defence ratings fitted on three seasons of results with an adjusted Poisson model, probabilities calibrated on past seasons, and the match result, over/under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score figures blended half and half with Megapari's odds once the margin is removed. The page updates four times a day until kick-off; from then on it stays as it was, and the result is added after the match. Methodology. Track record.
Where to place this bet
Our recommended bookmaker for these markets is Megapari.
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